Basile

I think you're having bad dreams where you're barking up the wrong AI tree. 
Take note, I was quoting someone else's words. That's what quotation marks 
usually mean.

FYI: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem
[https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3c/Chimpanzee_seated_at_typewriter.jpg]<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem>
Infinite monkey theorem - 
Wikipedia<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem>
The infinite monkey theorem states that a monkey hitting keys at random on a 
typewriter keyboard for an infinite amount of time will almost surely type any 
given text, such as the complete works of William Shakespeare.In fact, the 
monkey would almost surely type every possible finite text an infinite number 
of times. However, the probability that monkeys filling the observable universe 
would ...
en.wikipedia.org


________________________________
From: [email protected] <[email protected]>
Sent: Friday, 28 June 2019 10:43
To: AGI
Subject: Re: [agi] ARGH!!!


On Friday, June 28, 2019 08:55 CEST, Nanograte Knowledge Technologies 
<[email protected]> wrote:


"Theory: give enough computer scientists enough keyboards and time, and they 
will eventually figure out or stumble on whatever it takes to have general 
intelligence

Experiment: let the world's programmers work on this for half a century.

Results: Zero, nada, nothing. Experiment failed. Time for another theory."

But that experiment was never achieved. It is only in your dream. Read again 
The Mythical Man-Month<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mythical_Man-Month> 
please.

I strongly believe that AGI is a complex thing (I believe this because human 
intelligence is a complex thing, and we have no theory of it).

We won't have any simple theory (e.g. fitting entirely in a single book) for 
making AGI.

Perhaps AGI might be achievable, but that would require a 
megaproject<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megaproject>. Today, there is no any 
software megaprojects (in AI or elsewhere in computer science). Even the most 
complex software (eg. the billion lines of code for Google search engine) we 
have today don't fit into such a definition.

An AGI megaproject would require thousands of people working during several 
decades on it. Costing tens of billions of US$ or €.

As far as I know, it has not started. Even worse, I cannot name any megaproject 
today in the information technology domain.

Regarding AGI, we are like the nuclear scientists of the 1930s compared to 
current ITER<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ITER> project. And the ITER nuclear 
fusion reactor still don't work, and my belief is that nuclear fusion is a lot 
simpler than making AGI

Cheers





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