AI will make do-it-yourself medical and legal services more affordable while at the same time increasing the fees or insurance you would have to pay for human doctors and lawyers. That's because technology increases wages by making people more productive.
Legal services are expensive because it is an adversarial process. You win cases by making it as expensive and time consuming as possible for the other side so they settle without a trial, like 99% of cases. We already have online services for simple processes like writing a will or a lease agreement. This will expand to let you act as your own attorney in cases. The sites will be run by human lawyers. Even fewer cases will go to trial because we don't want to automate judges, juries, and prosecutors, making trials more expensive. Medical services are expensive in the US partially because health insurance rewards doctors for prescribing treatment you don't need and insurance companies for denying care you do need. But even in other developed countries where health care costs half as much and life expectancy is 4 years longer, there is still the problem that clinical trials are very expensive and will become more so because of rising wages, privacy laws, and bans on animal testing. AI can't fix either of these problems. What it can do is make do-it-yourself medical care more affordable. Currently about 90% of doctor visits are for things that will improve on their own without treatment, 7% for things that the doctor can't treat, and 3% for things that the doctor can actually cure. But you will always get a pill regardless, because only doctors can prescribe medicine and you expect something to be done. What AI can do is expand do-it-yourself treatment and make it more affordable. You can already get some prescriptions by mail through virtual doctor visits and do your own medical research. AI will expand these services, which will be run by human doctors. These are two examples of how AI means you pay less for services while the providers earn more by serving more people. On Sun, Jun 2, 2024, 1:45 PM Sun Tzu InfoDragon <[email protected]> wrote: > Re: metrics > > The most important metric, obviously, is whether GPT can pass for a doctor > on the US Medical Licensing Exam by scoring the requisite 60%. > > > https://healthitanalytics.com/news/chatgpt-passes-us-medical-licensing-exam-without-clinician-input > > > Also important is that 4 outperforms 3.5 by being 90% total percentile, > rather than bottom-10%-of-passing for bar exams. > > > https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnkoetsier/2023/03/14/gpt-4-beats-90-of-lawyers-trying-to-pass-the-bar/?sh=34a49ab03027 > > > As is classic to the AI communities, there will now be mental gymnastics > as to why tests made for humans are not appropriate for machines (shouldn't > the tests... test the ability to produce desired behavior? Isn't that why > we have tests?) or how the machines simply studied to the tests (which is > very different from our Dignified Medical Students who absolutely never do > that ever during their last semester in medical school). > > > As a public service announcement - uploading pictures of rashes and > infections to GPT4 basically produces reliable identification and treatment > protocols. Don't trust everything you see on the Internet, obviously... > But also seek second opinions from doctors... After all... 60% is passing. > > On Sun, Jun 2, 2024, 08:18 John Rose <[email protected]> wrote: > >> On Saturday, June 01, 2024, at 7:03 PM, immortal.discoveries wrote: >> >> I love how a thread I started ends up with Matt and Jim and others having >> a conversation again lol. >> >> >> Tame the butterfly effect. Just imagine you switch a couple words around >> and the whole world starts conversing. >> >> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + > delivery options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> > Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T17fa3f27f63a882a-M1f54cc8ce1dcbe089f0d03f1> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T17fa3f27f63a882a-Mf928faeac61cae6fab97517e Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
