Jim,

On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 12:17 PM, Jim Bromer <[email protected]> wrote:

> Steve,
> At first I thought you were going to say something that made sense, but
> then I had to reread what you said to make sure that your conclusion was
> odd.  You said,
>  "Before you can conclude ANYTHING about a really complex system ..., you
> must first posit what perfect operation would be..."
> This is, how can I put it nicely, excessively demanding.
>

Which simply demonstrates that you do NOT grok what I am saying here.


> It is atypical to find that some technology is going to be understood
> perfectly during the initial stages of the development of that technology.
>

We are nearly 200 million years into development and function SO nearly
perfectly that it is REALLY hard to find anything that is not apparently
perfect. So, yes, it IS a high bar to understand us, but such is the task.

Of course you could go off and spend another 200 million years and do a
better job without understanding our operation. You might even work a
million times faster, but you STILL won't get the job done before they
plant you.


> I don't grok what you are saying because it seems obviously infeasible.
>

I have been successfully working in this area, by presuming perfection and
drilling down into how a "perfect" system could have such problems, and
finding things that when affected reverse real-world illnesses. I agree
that turning that around to replicate intelligence would be VERY difficult,
but such is the task that cognitive psychologists have chosen.

>
> For example, you applied this remark to cognitive psychology.  If you told
> me that you can posit what a perfect operation of cognitive science is
> I would cut back on the amount of time that I spent on your posts because I
> would conclude that you were not being very reasonable right now.
>

"Perfect" cognitive science would presume that WE are perfect, and look for
operational details for which there is NO place in a perfect system. THOSE
would then become the basis for their conclusions.

Steve
=============

On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 2:36 PM, Steve Richfield
<[email protected]>wrote:
>
>> Imagine a group of researchers with diagrams, oscilloscopes, etc.,
>> working on a small box that is making a loud noise, trying to figure out
>> how to "fix" it. The circuit diagram appears to include an unstable circuit
>> that is oscillating, that is connected to a transducer that is making the
>> noise. Removing the power source stops the noise, but it resumes soon after
>> the power source is reconnected. Careful study of the circuit shows that it
>> is controlled by an ionization chamber, and disconnecting the chamber also
>> quiets the alarm. Hence, we now have two "cures" for the loud noise. They
>> publish their cure, collect their money, and move onto researching another
>> "cure", instead of throwing the cigarette smokers out of the lab.
>>
>> There are VERY few things in our bodies whose operation can be shown to
>> be anything short of theoretically perfect. OK, so why do we get sick and
>> age? Apparently, because that is the very best that perfect can do, in the
>> face of things like superstitious learning and self-adaption to artificial
>> environments. If this is NOT the case, then the FIRST task for a researcher
>> is, or rather should be, showing what would be "perfect" that is not
>> happening perfectly.
>>
>> My previously low body temperature that caused me SO many health problems
>> was the result of apparently perfect process control, that was sabotaged by
>> theoretically unavoidable superstitious learning.
>>
>> My previous glaucoma blind spots were the result of a lifetime of perfect
>> self-adaptation to the physical imperfections of my two eyes.
>>
>> Now that I understand these things, I can engineer simple interventions
>> to manipulate and correct these problems - usually by making a new problem
>> to self-adapt to, that reverses prior self-adaption gone awry.
>>
>> However, literally pouring billions of dollars into trying to understand
>> every ion and enzyme to figure out exactly WHY at the molecular level
>> things are working SO perfectly (when they haven't even asked themselves
>> what "perfect" might be) is a COMPLETE waste of time and money - just like
>> the example above of reverse engineering a smoke detector.
>>
>> Cognitive psychology has fallen into this same trap, as has DNA analysis,
>> brain mapping, fMRI research, etc. Suppose I have a black box that whenever
>> I input a number, it immediately displays the square root of that number.
>> How does it work? Of course it could work in many different ways, e.g.
>> successive approximation, digit-by-digit extraction, etc. However, these
>> areas of "research" are looking for ANY way they can see for things to
>> work, and publishing their "discoveries" that may but probably do NOT have
>> anything to do with any reality besides their own thoughts.
>>
>> Before you can conclude ANYTHING about a really complex system (like us),
>> you must first posit what perfect operation would be, and then examine the
>> DIFFERENCE between theoretical and perfect to discover what is REALLY
>> happening therein. In ALL of the areas that should now be supporting AGI
>> efforts, mathematics, neurosciences, cognitive psychology, computer
>> development, etc., this basic principle has been missed, leaving AGI with
>> NOTHING to run with.
>>
>> I have posted about this several times in the past, but so far NO ONE had
>> made any comments that indicate that they grok this ever so basic
>> principle. I am beginning to thing that the "human condition" disables
>> (most) people from being able to think at this level.
>>
>> Any thoughts?
>>
>> Steve
>>
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