Well to complete a thought, I would say that we certainly posit theoretical
*ideals* which speak of a kind of perfection conditional on the validity
-or strength- of our theory.  So even though we might not have everything
figured out we might get one part right. Or, even getting it a little wrong
we might be able to discover a correlation (in a broad sense of the term)
that is instrumental or which leads to greater insight.  I guess I just
dislike the "perfect operation" part.
Jim Bromer

On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 8:36 PM, Steve Richfield
<[email protected]>wrote:

> Jim,
>
> On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 12:17 PM, Jim Bromer <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Steve,
>> At first I thought you were going to say something that made sense, but
>> then I had to reread what you said to make sure that your conclusion was
>> odd.  You said,
>>  "Before you can conclude ANYTHING about a really complex system ..., you
>> must first posit what perfect operation would be..."
>> This is, how can I put it nicely, excessively demanding.
>>
>
> Which simply demonstrates that you do NOT grok what I am saying here.
>
>
>> It is atypical to find that some technology is going to be understood
>> perfectly during the initial stages of the development of that technology.
>>
>
> We are nearly 200 million years into development and function SO nearly
> perfectly that it is REALLY hard to find anything that is not apparently
> perfect. So, yes, it IS a high bar to understand us, but such is the task.
>
> Of course you could go off and spend another 200 million years and do a
> better job without understanding our operation. You might even work a
> million times faster, but you STILL won't get the job done before they
> plant you.
>
>
>> I don't grok what you are saying because it seems obviously infeasible.
>>
>
> I have been successfully working in this area, by presuming perfection and
> drilling down into how a "perfect" system could have such problems, and
> finding things that when affected reverse real-world illnesses. I agree
> that turning that around to replicate intelligence would be VERY difficult,
> but such is the task that cognitive psychologists have chosen.
>
>>
>> For example, you applied this remark to cognitive psychology.  If
>> you told me that you can posit what a perfect operation of cognitive
>> science is I would cut back on the amount of time that I spent on your
>> posts because I would conclude that you were not being very reasonable
>> right now.
>>
>
> "Perfect" cognitive science would presume that WE are perfect, and look
> for operational details for which there is NO place in a perfect system.
> THOSE would then become the basis for their conclusions.
>
> Steve
> =============
>
> On Thu, Sep 20, 2012 at 2:36 PM, Steve Richfield <
>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Imagine a group of researchers with diagrams, oscilloscopes, etc.,
>>> working on a small box that is making a loud noise, trying to figure out
>>> how to "fix" it. The circuit diagram appears to include an unstable circuit
>>> that is oscillating, that is connected to a transducer that is making the
>>> noise. Removing the power source stops the noise, but it resumes soon after
>>> the power source is reconnected. Careful study of the circuit shows that it
>>> is controlled by an ionization chamber, and disconnecting the chamber also
>>> quiets the alarm. Hence, we now have two "cures" for the loud noise. They
>>> publish their cure, collect their money, and move onto researching another
>>> "cure", instead of throwing the cigarette smokers out of the lab.
>>>
>>> There are VERY few things in our bodies whose operation can be shown to
>>> be anything short of theoretically perfect. OK, so why do we get sick and
>>> age? Apparently, because that is the very best that perfect can do, in the
>>> face of things like superstitious learning and self-adaption to artificial
>>> environments. If this is NOT the case, then the FIRST task for a researcher
>>> is, or rather should be, showing what would be "perfect" that is not
>>> happening perfectly.
>>>
>>> My previously low body temperature that caused me SO many health
>>> problems was the result of apparently perfect process control, that was
>>> sabotaged by theoretically unavoidable superstitious learning.
>>>
>>> My previous glaucoma blind spots were the result of a lifetime of
>>> perfect self-adaptation to the physical imperfections of my two eyes.
>>>
>>> Now that I understand these things, I can engineer simple interventions
>>> to manipulate and correct these problems - usually by making a new problem
>>> to self-adapt to, that reverses prior self-adaption gone awry.
>>>
>>> However, literally pouring billions of dollars into trying to understand
>>> every ion and enzyme to figure out exactly WHY at the molecular level
>>> things are working SO perfectly (when they haven't even asked themselves
>>> what "perfect" might be) is a COMPLETE waste of time and money - just like
>>> the example above of reverse engineering a smoke detector.
>>>
>>> Cognitive psychology has fallen into this same trap, as has DNA
>>> analysis, brain mapping, fMRI research, etc. Suppose I have a black box
>>> that whenever I input a number, it immediately displays the square root of
>>> that number. How does it work? Of course it could work in many different
>>> ways, e.g. successive approximation, digit-by-digit extraction, etc.
>>> However, these areas of "research" are looking for ANY way they can see for
>>> things to work, and publishing their "discoveries" that may but probably do
>>> NOT have anything to do with any reality besides their own thoughts.
>>>
>>> Before you can conclude ANYTHING about a really complex system (like
>>> us), you must first posit what perfect operation would be, and then examine
>>> the DIFFERENCE between theoretical and perfect to discover what is REALLY
>>> happening therein. In ALL of the areas that should now be supporting AGI
>>> efforts, mathematics, neurosciences, cognitive psychology, computer
>>> development, etc., this basic principle has been missed, leaving AGI with
>>> NOTHING to run with.
>>>
>>> I have posted about this several times in the past, but so far NO ONE
>>> had made any comments that indicate that they grok this ever so basic
>>> principle. I am beginning to thing that the "human condition" disables
>>> (most) people from being able to think at this level.
>>>
>>> Any thoughts?
>>>
>>> Steve
>>>
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