Matt,
Obviously if you are going to make calculations here, you will need to be
able to explain how long it will take us to produce the first "living
mechantcial/artificial system" - from a cell to a robot, that can
independently navigate and live in the real world, without human assistance.
This would constitute an awesomely revolutionary new epoch of technology -
and gynormous technological leap.
What are the obstacles involved - for example, consciousness, sentience,
integrated body, emotional system, self ...? How many obstacles to
understanding and creating these are there? How many parts of a human or
even a worm body do we still not understand that are essential for
independent survival? How many parts of a neuronal system do we still not
understand? Thousands, a million,...?
Please explain how and when we will solve these mysteries - how many there
are - and produce budgets.
-------------------------------------------
AGI
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