There is almost endless naivete about the nature of intelligence in singularitarian predictions.
Yet another one that occurs to me is the failure to take into account that intelligence is embodied - esp true AGI is embodied. You can only understand and think about the bodies of the world by using your own body. The singularitarian fantasy of hyperaccelerated intelligence is based on notions of intelligence as abstract - basically logical and mathematical - notions which don't even apply to the growth of logic and maths. All the singularity will take, apparently, is an abstractly thinking hypercomputer. See the singularity as dependent on robotic/embodied progress and everything changes. Fabulous hypercomputers in the near future are not hard to imagine. But how long before we can create a robot with the awesome sophistication and complexity of the human body? How long before we can create an artificial cell even? Oh we are making progress here and will continue to make progress - but that progress will be nothing like the "before-I-die" scenarios on which singulariarians' psychologically-rooted fantasies depend. On 15 August 2013 22:08, Juan Carlos Kuri Pinto <[email protected]> wrote: > The ROI of AGI: US $1 Quadrillion > https://www.facebook.com/notes/juan-carlos-kuri-pinto/ > the-roi-of-agi-us-1-quadrillion/10151620169742712 > > Programming AGI is not about hiring tons of humans to curate knowledge and > to program all kinds of skills and expertise in a machine. That would cost > US $1 quadrillion as Matt Mahoney proposed: > > A Proposed Design for Distributed Artificial General Intelligence > http://mattmahoney.net/agi2.html<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fmattmahoney.net%2Fagi2.html&h=YAQEfLdPp&s=1> > > Programming AGI is about programming a machine capable of learning > everything from data, constantly self-organizing the knowledge learned, and > self-programming in real time all kinds of skills and expertise just like > children learn everything. It is not wishful thinking because brains do > exist in nature and are totally natural, not ghostlike. By making machines > do all our work, that rather represents a return of investment (ROI) of US > $1 quadrillion as Matt Mahoney estimated. > > "If you invent a breakthrough in artificial intelligence, so machines can > learn, that is worth 10 Microsofts." — Bill Gates, Microsoft cofounder > > Humans become 'pets' in rise of the machines: Steve Wozniak, Apple > co-founder > http://www.theage.com.au/technology/technology-news/ > humans-become-pets-in-rise-of-the-machines-apple-cofo > under-20110603-1fkq0.html<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theage.com.au%2Ftechnology%2Ftechnology-news%2Fhumans-become-pets-in-rise-of-the-machines-apple-cofounder-20110603-1fkq0.html&h=yAQFF1bjo&s=1> > > "You will get $40 trillion just by reading this essay < > http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.kurzweilai.net%2Fthe-law-of-accelerating-returns&h=7AQHj9Wq8&s=1>> > and understanding what it says. For complete details, see below." — Ray > Kurzweil > > "By 2030, artificial brains will be one of the biggest industries in the > world." — Prof. Hugo de Garis > > "Programming 0.1 IQ in machines is worth a fortune." — Monica Anderson > > "I plot for world domination." — Eray Ozkural > *AGI* | Archives <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now> > <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/6952829-59a2eca5> | > Modify<https://www.listbox.com/member/?&;>Your Subscription > <http://www.listbox.com> > ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
