The BIG question is: Who get the quadrillion dollars? It sure won't be you,
because you don't have the funding to make this a reality, and you don't
have an army to protect it once it is a reality.

Since there isn't a quadrillion dollars in circulation, it would have to be
printed and therefore have its value inflated away, or owed to you in the
hope that they have the money in the future, which is impossible since that
much money doesn't exist.

People come up with super-valuable technology all the time, but most end up
with nothing. If you look for the people who developed the basic
technologies you use every day, you will discover that many of them have
less than you now have.

Bill Gates made a fortune on MSDOS. The programmer got $20K. There are many
such stories, including my own.

Either a social reformation will occur before AGI appears, or most of the
world's population, probably including you and whoever else invents AGI,
will starve as a result. As things now stand, I see AGI as MUCH more of a
threat than a promise.

Years ago I got to know an international weapons trader. He advised me NOT
to work on high-tech weapons because your country would rather have you
dead so you can't spread the technology elsewhere, and other countries
would rather have you dead to keep you from advancing your technology. I
see AGI as being the same - EVERY government would have an interest in your
demise.

Someone once said "NEVER be worth more dead than alive."

Further, if you read my prior postings where I explained to Ben the VERY
negative value of near-term AGI predictions on everyone working in the
field, you would see the negative value of your own posting. Hyping AGI is
DANGEROUS to us all, including you.

Steve



On Thu, Aug 15, 2013 at 2:08 PM, Juan Carlos Kuri Pinto <[email protected]>wrote:

> The ROI of AGI: US $1 Quadrillion
> https://www.facebook.com/notes/juan-carlos-kuri-pinto/
> the-roi-of-agi-us-1-quadrillion/10151620169742712
>
> Programming AGI is not about hiring tons of humans to curate knowledge and
> to program all kinds of skills and expertise in a machine. That would cost
> US $1 quadrillion as Matt Mahoney proposed:
>
> A Proposed Design for Distributed Artificial General Intelligence
> http://mattmahoney.net/agi2.html<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fmattmahoney.net%2Fagi2.html&h=YAQEfLdPp&s=1>
>
> Programming AGI is about programming a machine capable of learning
> everything from data, constantly self-organizing the knowledge learned, and
> self-programming in real time all kinds of skills and expertise just like
> children learn everything. It is not wishful thinking because brains do
> exist in nature and are totally natural, not ghostlike. By making machines
> do all our work, that rather represents a return of investment (ROI) of US
> $1 quadrillion as Matt Mahoney estimated.
>
> "If you invent a breakthrough in artificial intelligence, so machines can
> learn, that is worth 10 Microsofts." — Bill Gates, Microsoft cofounder
>
> Humans become 'pets' in rise of the machines: Steve Wozniak, Apple
> co-founder
> http://www.theage.com.au/technology/technology-news/
> humans-become-pets-in-rise-of-the-machines-apple-cofo
> under-20110603-1fkq0.html<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theage.com.au%2Ftechnology%2Ftechnology-news%2Fhumans-become-pets-in-rise-of-the-machines-apple-cofounder-20110603-1fkq0.html&h=yAQFF1bjo&s=1>
>
> "You will get $40 trillion just by reading this essay <
> http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns<http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.kurzweilai.net%2Fthe-law-of-accelerating-returns&h=7AQHj9Wq8&s=1>>
> and understanding what it says. For complete details, see below." — Ray
> Kurzweil
>
> "By 2030, artificial brains will be one of the biggest industries in the
> world." — Prof. Hugo de Garis
>
> "Programming 0.1 IQ in machines is worth a fortune." — Monica Anderson
>
> "I plot for world domination." — Eray Ozkural
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