My thoughts are that we will not have AGI any time soon.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Z0kr3XDoM6cr5TgHH0GXQTjyikr7WpCkpWFn9IglW3o/edit



On Tue, Oct 15, 2013 at 12:20 PM, Piaget Modeler
<[email protected]>wrote:

> What do you mean by risk? and by deployment?
>
> Everyone has a different understanding of AGI.  From my perspective I'm
> attempting to develop
> an AGI similar to a human infant.  So "deployment" in a family setting
> would perhaps be best.
> Where the embodied AGI lives, is raised by,  and participates in a human
> family.
>
> Thoughts?
>
>
> ------------------------------
> Date: Tue, 15 Oct 2013 02:04:54 -0700
> Subject: [agi] Least risky AGI deployment strategy?
> From: [email protected]
> To: [email protected]
>
>
> What are people's opinions on how to develop and deploy AGI in a way that
> encourages or increases the likelihood of outcomes favorable to current
> forms of terrestrial/organic life and its evolutionary trajectory into
> future viable forms (however rapid that may be)?
>
> It seems to me that if AGI grows within the context of work in extending
> human expression, communication, perception, cognitive behavioral skills
> etc, that it is likely to put us at the forefront of what happens. In this
> scenario, by the time autonomous superhumans emerge we are on fairly common
> terms and stand a chance to co-evolve beneficially.
>
> However (ignoring for a second the fact that no one has demonstrated
> anything close to it yet) an autonomous AGI "person" in 2013 getting pushed
> out to github would be more of a wildcard, and possibly an existential risk.
>
> What are your thoughts? This topic may be a dead horse to beat on, but at
> the same time I doubt there is anyone who is actively hacking on the
> mysteries of subjectivity, cognition, and life who doesn't think about this
> sometimes. Another reason to keep pressing this is that probably some of
> the resistance to illuminating the mysteries of natural computation is due
> to fear of the unknown more or less, so the more confident we can be in
> strategies for success, the more support this sort of work will enjoy.
>
> Rob
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-- 
-- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]



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