Nearly 11 months ago I made the claim that I thought that I had AGI
all figured out.  I did not make my claim to brag about my
accomplishments but to demonstrate the inanity of such claims.  I do
feel that I have it figured out, but that only means that I am at the
next stage of a long process.  I said that if someone had it all
figured out that he should be able to get a demo working within a
year.  However, I then modified that statement because we do have to
give researchers, even amateur researchers, especially amateur
researchers, some leeway.  So then, if I had it all figured out, I
really should be able to have some kind of demo in 2 years.  I also
pointed out that if 5 months went by and I was still working on the
basics and had not even started working on the AI part then that would
be a pretty sure sign that I did not have it all figured out.
Doubling that time to 10 months makes sense since we should give
researchers some leeway.  And I also added that since things, like
illnesses or situations can interfere with your time that issues like
that should also be taken into account.  And indeed, I had both
illnesses and family situations that really interfered with my work.
So anyway, taking that all into account, I do feel comfortable
declaring that if I haven’t started working on the AI part by the end
of this month then that is a pretty good sign that I did not (and
presumably still do not) have AGI all figured out.  Well, it does not
look too likely that I will start doing any AI stuff by the end of
next week, so I really have to give up on the attitude that I have it
all figured out.  I do have some good ideas, I am working hard on my
program, and I will be able to start testing my AI ideas out early
next year.  So I can say that I am testing my ideas out (I am working
on the facility to test them out) and that I have some sophisticated
ideas to work with.  But the attitude that I have it all figured out
is not a reality and thankfully I do not waste much time with that
kind of ego-driven delusion.

I do have some feelings that other people have it wrong.  I don’t see
any reason to deny that.  I have heard a lot of theories that were put
forward without reasons or with insubstantial reasons (like some
shallow ad hominem denouncement that is repeated ad nauseam) or with
some cherry-picked reasoning that is always advanced without examining
alternative views.  But that does not mean that I can realistically
dismiss other people’s AGI theories. Since I don’t have it all figured
out I have to keep an open mind when someone can talk about something
that makes some kind of sense in programming terms.
-- 
Jim Bromer


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AGI
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