Depends on your definition of robot. "For my novel “A home for robots or-else artilect war”, I need to come up with some at least pseudo-realistic timeline of when such a worldwide conflict could occur.
Intuitively it would seem to be around the time when there are as many or more robots than homo sapiens on the planet, at which point there may be enough sufficiently intelligent robots to demand a space for themselves." You think that human/robot parity = artilect war... Why would this be the case? And if all you care about is a "pseudo-realistic timeline" then why not just say 2055 and be done with it? On Sun, Jan 3, 2016 at 4:03 PM, Logan Streondj <[email protected]> wrote: > By projecting homo-sapien birth and robot sales it seems they will reach > parity around 2040, but since robots have life-expectancy about 1/7 of a > human, population parity is likely closer to 2055. > https://joylifecoop.wordpress.com/2016/01/03/robot-population-projection/ > > also I think that 2030's will be the pivotal decade of much AGI > development. > > Wondering if anyone has any better estimates. > > Sincerely, > Logan. > > *AGI* | Archives <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now> > <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/26973278-698fd9ee> | > Modify > <https://www.listbox.com/member/?&;> > Your Subscription <http://www.listbox.com> > ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
