On 01/03/2016 08:15 PM, Logan Streondj wrote:
On Sun, Jan 3, 2016 at 5:24 PM, John Smith <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:Depends on your definition of robot. "For my novel “A home for robots or-else artilect war”, I need to come up with some at least pseudo-realistic timeline of when such a worldwide conflict could occur. Intuitively it would seem to be around the time when there are as many or more robots than homo sapiens on the planet, at which point there may be enough sufficiently intelligent robots to demand a space for themselves." You think that human/robot parity = artilect war... Why would this be the case?No, I don't think it is necessarily the case, that's why I called it "A Home for Robots *or-else* Artilect War", simply that before there are more robots than humans, there isn't much opportunity for revolt. While some estimates of slaves in Rome put it up to 1/3 of the population, I think more realistic estimate is 1/5, similar to the height of slavery in America. However in Attica (athens) it seems at some point more than 90% of the population were slaves. I'm not sure how that would translate with all the smart phones and other things, I don't think slaves have ever successfully revolted. would have to look at the mechanics of emancipation.
One Word: HAITI. That *REALLY* pissed-off a powerful bunch of people.
And if all you care about is a "pseudo-realistic timeline" then why not just say 2055 and be done with it? I've changed it to "realistic timeline" hope that makes it better. I take science fiction very seriously, I'd write a non-fiction, but fiction has longer life expectancy. Sincerely, Logan On Sun, Jan 3, 2016 at 4:03 PM, Logan Streondj <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: By projecting homo-sapien birth and robot sales it seems they will reach parity around 2040, but since robots have life-expectancy about 1/7 of a human, population parity is likely closer to 2055. https://joylifecoop.wordpress.com/2016/01/03/robot-population-projection/ also I think that 2030's will be the pivotal decade of much AGI development. Wondering if anyone has any better estimates. Sincerely, Logan. *AGI* | Archives <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now> <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/26973278-698fd9ee> | Modify <https://www.listbox.com/member/?&;> Your Subscription [Powered by Listbox] <http://www.listbox.com> *AGI* | Archives <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now> <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/5037279-a88c7a6d> | Modify <https://www.listbox.com/member/?&;> Your Subscription [Powered by Listbox] <http://www.listbox.com>*AGI* | Archives <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now> <https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/231448-cfc66781> | Modify <https://www.listbox.com/member/?&;> Your Subscription [Powered by Listbox] <http://www.listbox.com>
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