On Fri, 02 Feb 2007 22:01:34 -0500, Ben Goertzel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
In Novamente, we use entities called "indefinite probabilities", which
are described in a paper to appear in the AGIRI Workshop Proceedings
later this year...
Roughly speaking an indefinite probability is a quadruple (L,U,b,N) with
interpretation
"The probability is b that after I make N more observations, my
estimated mean for the probability distribution attached to statement S
will be in the interval (L,U)"
Where statement S might be some general hypothesis, e.g., "All ravens are
black", is that right? And then b increases as N increases -- as Novamente
sees more black ravens. Yes? Does the confidence interval also change?
-gts
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