I would never, ever claim that "the human mind doesn't show any
regularity in its management of beliefs and concepts".  Far from it!  It
is only the nature of those regularities that are of interest to me.
They can be formalizable, or they can be partially complex.  Ditto for
the idea that I might be saying that intelligence is "random or
arbitrary" ... I would never want to imply that.

My apologies if my reply can be read as blaming you for these claims.

In other words, the best explanation for the well-known *irrationality*
shown by humans in various cognitive psychology experiments is that they
are, deep down, trying to apply bayesian reasoning to the task, but that
when they try to do this, they mess up!

I agree with Oaksford and Chater in their general spirit, that is, the
so-called *irrationality* may have a deeper explanation, though I
don't agree with the concrete (Bayesian) explanation they suggest.

One interpretation:  when the mind tries to rely too heavily on a
routine, mindless application of a formalized system for dealing with
the world, it shows its dumbest side.  Then, when something else steps
in (higher level structures that use other principles to dig the dumb
bayesian reasoning engine out of its mess), the system shows its
smartest side.

This is possible.

At the very least, this is suggestive empirical evidence that, yes,
there are interesting mechanisms at work down there, but that the bits
that try to rely too heavily on simple formal-system approaches are not
the ones that make the system intelligent.

It completely depends on what you mean by "simple formal-system approaches".

Pei


Richard Loosemore.

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