Well, although I am not an AI developer, I am a C++ application developer and I know I or any reasonably skilled developer could write task-specific applications that would be extremely coherent in the De Finetti sense (applicable to making probabilistic judgements in horse-racing, casinos, the stockmarket, whatever). These applications would make mincemeat of humans in any test of coherence. Such applications already exist, come to think of it.

So I think people should be optimistic about coherence in AGI, not pessimistic.

-gts


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