>>I am not saying the AGI problem is solved, or that it is a no-brainer, but I think we are really beginning to understand the basic architecture of powerful AGI's. Furthermore, I think it is clear that with Moore's law and the fact that AI is one field that can very easily use the vast increase in processing and communication power made possible by massively multi-core tiled architectures, it is clear that AI machines in less than a decade will be thousands of times more powerful than most AI machines today, and that will allow world-knowledge-based computing, something that no AI machines have had to date. This should makes common sense much easier, it makes natural language understanding much easier. It allows machines to have much greater context appropriate behavior, because they will model so many more contexts. Exactly what level performance we will get when is not certain, but it is certain that important and profitable new vistas in AI will open.
And it is certain that the more money and attention that is drawn to the field, the more likely rapid advances will be.<< This Sir, is a beautifully stated summation of the kind of PR approach that should be taken to promote public support and increased investment for AI. It is exciting, but reasonable and conservative. >>Like a few people on this list I've been around for a while and seen AI "buzz" events before. Buzz alone is not enough. When celebrity names become involved in the "buzz" this should also sound alarm bells. If buzz is not followed by appropriate results then investors pull out and it all goes pear shaped. The proponents of AI forget the dangers of hype at their peril.<< "Results" are certainly important, but effective PR is not "hype". In fact "hype" and overly futuristic predictions are counter productive. I find it interesting that some of you are so nervous about promoting your own industry. Every other industry does it. Even with all the tech bravado I see on this board there seems to be an underlying element of insecurity. Maybe the bravado is compensation. However, Porter's short paragraph does an excellent job of presenting a powerful new near term technology that could offer exciting opportunities for early investors. That is not "hype". Don Detrich Constructive Software Solutions ----- This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=47799215-a6e729
