>
>
> I largely agree. It's worth pointing out that Carnot published
> "Reflections on
> the Motive Power of Fire" and established the science of thermodynamics
> more
> than a century after the first working steam engines were built.
>
> That said, I opine that an intuitive grasp of some of the important
> elements
> in what will ultimately become the science of intelligence is likely to be
> very useful to those inventing AGI.
>


Yeah, most certainly....  However, an intuitive grasp -- and even a
well-fleshed-out
qualitative theory supplemented by heuristic back-of-the-envelope
calculations
and prototype results -- is very different from a defensible, rigorous
theory that
can stand up to the assaults of intelligent detractors....

I didn't start seriously trying to design & implement AGI until I felt I had
a solid
intuitive grasp of all related issues.  But I did make a conscious choice to
devote
more effort to utilizing my intuitive grasp to try to design and create AGI,
rather than to creating better general AI theories....  Both are worthy
pursuits,
and both are difficult.  I actually enjoy theory better.  But my sense is
that the
heyday of AGI theorizing is gonna come after AGI experimentation has
progressed
a good bit further than it has today...

-- Ben G

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