Robin, I think there is compelling evidence, but I have reached that point only after thousands of hours of study and thought.
Obviously my judgment is, at this point, unproven and subjective, You are entitled to your different subjective judgement. I am sorry that my paper has failed to convey the reasons for my beliefs better, but they are not easy to communicate, particularly to those who share the viewpoints most agreed with and rewarded in the AI community. The proof will be in the doing. Hopefully that will start coming, at least in small steps, soon. Edward W. Porter Porter & Associates 24 String Bridge S12 Exeter, NH 03833 (617) 494-1722 Fax (617) 494-1822 [EMAIL PROTECTED] -----Original Message----- From: Robin Hanson [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Saturday, November 10, 2007 4:32 PM To: [email protected] Subject: RE: [agi] What best evidence for fast AI? At 01:52 PM 11/10/2007, Edward W. Porter wrote: I am an evangelist for the fact that the time for powerful AI could be here very rapidly if there were reasonable funding for the right people. There is a small, but increasing number of people who pretty much understand how to build artificial brains as powerful as that of humans, not 100% but probably at least 90% at an architectual level. Well we should all assign a chance to a recent dramatic breakthrough, but in the absence of compelling evidence that chance has to be pretty low. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Research Associate, Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 _____ This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/? <http://v2.listbox.com/member/?&; > & ----- This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=63896188-d1e64c
