Robin Hanson wrote:

The anchor that I start with is my rough estimate of how long whole
 brain emulation will take, and so I'm most interesting in
comparing AGI to that anchor.   The fact that people are prone to
take these estimate questions as attitude surveys is all the more
reason to seek concrete arguments, rather than yet more attitudes.

An interesting comment, given that what I offered was a set of concrete
arguments about the way that AGI will (or should) develop, but your
reply was that you did not need to consider the actual content of these
arguments, because you could substitute a casual survey of some
attitudes instead:

Robin Hanson wrote:
I have to give a lot of weight to the apparent fact that most AI
researchers have not yet been convinced to accept your favored
approach.   More persuasive to me are arguments for fast AI based on
more widely shared premises.




Richard Loosemore

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