On Tuesday 11 December 2007, Matt Mahoney wrote:
> --- Bryan Bishop <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > Re: how much computing power is needed for ai. My worst-case
> > scenario accounts for nearly any finite computing power, via the
> > production of semiconductant silicon wafer tech.
>
> A human brain sized neural network requires about 10^15 bits of
> memory and 10^16 operations per second.  The Internet already has
> enough computing power to simulate a few thousand brains.  The

Yes, but how much of that computing power is accessible to you? Probably 
very little at the moment, and even if you had the penetration of the 
likes of YouTube and other massive websites, you're still only getting 
a fraction of the computational power of the internet. Again, 
worst-case: we have to make our own factories. 

> threshold for a singularity is to surpass the collective intelligence
> of all 10^10 human brains on Earth.

I am not so sure that the goal of making ai is the same as making a 
singularity. But this is probably less relevant.

> Moore's law allows you to estimate when this will happen, but keep in

Or you can make it happen yourself. Make your own fabs. Get the computer 
nodes you need. Write the software to take advantage of millions of 
nodes all at once. etc. 

- Bryan

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