--- Stan Nilsen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> Greetings Ed,
> 
> I have planted my website.  Although I don't believe AI will be that 
> strong, like other opinions, mine is not rigorously supported.
> 
> The essence - AI will be similar to Human Intelligence due to the 
> relationship of intelligence to an accurate (and effective) model of the 
> world.  There are many model areas where "accurate" doesn't compute.
> 
> 
> Stan
> http://www.footnotestrongai.com

All animals have a bias that they cannot imagine something more intelligent
than themselves.  Your dog cannot imagine that humans are smarter than dogs. 
A flea on your dog cannot imagine anything smarter than another flea.  This is
in spite of obvious (to you) evidence to the contrary.

Consider the evidence that smarter than human intelligence already exists. 
For example, evolution is an intelligent process that created humans from
simple chemicals.

Another even more obvious example is the fact that the universe exists.  Why? 
Consider the AIXI model of universal intelligence:
http://www.vetta.org/documents/ui_benelearn.pdf and
http://www.hutter1.net/ai/paixi.htm

The fact that Occam's Razor works suggests that the universe is or could be
simulated by a computer.  AIXI suggests that the simplest explanation is most
likely: try all possible laws of physics until a universe supporting life is
found.  It takes a couple hundred bits to describe the free parameters in
string theory and general relativity.  Also, the universe that we occupy has a
finite quantum state that would take about 10^122 bits to describe.  Computing
all simpler universes first would therefore require about 10^200 to 10^400
operations.  I would consider such a computer to have superhuman intelligence.

If you define intelligence as passing the Turing test, then I agree that you
could not have a computer much smarter than human.  But I don't define
intelligence that way.  A superhuman intelligence will be invisible, because
it will have complete control over your thoughts.


-- Matt Mahoney, [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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