OK.  Sorry for the gap/delay between parts.  I've been doing a substantial 
rewrite of this section . . . .

Part 4.

Despite all of the debate about how to *cause* Friendly behavior, there's 
actually very little debate about what Friendly behavior looks like.  Human 
beings actually have had the concept of Friendly behavior for quite some time.  
It's called ethics.

We've also been grappling with the problem of how to *cause* Friendly/ethical 
behavior for an equally long time under the guise of making humans act 
ethically . . . .

One of the really cool things that I enjoy about the Attractor Theory of 
Friendliness is that it has *a lot* of explanatory power for human behavior 
(see the next Interlude) as well as providing a path for moving humanity to 
Friendliness (and we all do want all *other* humans, except for ourselves, to 
be Friendly -- don't we?  :-)

My personal problem with, say, Jef Albright's treatises on ethics is that he 
explicitly dismisses self-interest.  I believe that his view of ethical 
behavior is generally more correct than that of the vast majority of people -- 
but his justification for ethical behavior is merely because such behavior is 
ethical or "right".  I don't find that tremendously compelling.

Now -- my personal self-interest . . . . THAT I can get behind.  Which is the 
beauty of the Attractor Theory of Friendliness.  If Friendliness is in my own 
self-interest, then I'm darn well going to get Friendly and stay that way.  So, 
the constant question for humans is "Is ethical behavior on my part in the 
current circumstances in *my* best interest?"  So let's investigate that 
question some . . . . 

It is to the advantage of Society (i.e. the collection of everyone else) to 
*make* me be Friendly/ethical and Society is pretty darn effective at it -- to 
the extent that there are only two cases/circumstances where 
unethical/UnFriendly behavior is still in my best interest:
  a.. where society doesn't catch me being unethical/unFriendly OR 
  b.. where society's sanctions don't/can't successfully outweigh my 
self-interest in a particular action.
<Note that Vladimir's "crush all opposition" falls under the second case since 
there are effectively no sanctions when society is destroyed>

But why is Society (or any society) the way that it is and how did/does it come 
up with the particular ethics that it did/does?  Let's define a society as a 
set of people with common goals that we will call that society's goals.  And 
let's start out with a society with a trial goal of "Promote John's goals".  
Now, John could certainly get behind that but everyone else would probably drop 
out as soon as they realized that they were required to grant John's every whim 
-- even at the expense of their deepest desires -- and the society would 
rapidly end up with exactly one person -- John.  The societal goal of "Don't 
get in the way of John's goals" is somewhat easier for other people and might 
not drive *everyone* away -- but I'm sure that any intelligent person would 
still defect towards a society that most accurately represented *their* goals.  
Eventually, you're going to get down to "Don't mess with anyone's goals", be 
forced to add the clause "unless absolutely necessary", and then have to fight 
over what "when absolutely necessary" means.  But what we've got here is what I 
would call the goal of a Friendly society -- "Don't mess with anyone's goals 
unless absolutely necessary" and I would call this a huge amount of progress.

If we (as individuals) could recruit everybody *ELSE* to this society (without 
joining ourselves), the world would clearly be a much, much better place for 
us.  It is obviously in our enlightened self-interest to do this.  *BUT* (and 
this is a huge one), the obvious behavior of this society would be to convert 
anybody that it can and kick the ass of anyone not in the society (but only to 
the extent to which they mess with the goals of the society since doing more 
would violate the society's own goal of not messing with anyone's goals).

So, the question is -- "Is joining such a society in our self-interest?"

To the members of any society, our not joining clearly is a result of our 
believing that our goals are more important than that society's goals.  In the 
case of the Friendly society, it is a clear signal of hostility since they are 
willing to not interfere with our goals as long as we don't interfere with 
theirs -- and we are not willing to sign up to that (i.e. we're clearly 
signaling our intention to mess with them).  The success of the "optimistic 
tit-for-tat" algorithm shows that the best strategy for deterrence of an 
undesired behavior is directly proportional to the undesired behavior.  Thus, 
any entity who knows about Friendliness and does not become Friendly should 
*expect* that the next Friendly entity to come along that is bigger than it 
*WILL* kick it's ass in direct proportion to it's unFriendliness to maintain 
the effectiveness of deterrence.

<Does that meet everyone's expectations for a good reason why it is in an 
Unfriendly's own self-interest to convert even if it is currently the most 
powerful kid on the block?  If you're gambling on *always* being the biggest 
when the downside to converting is relatively minimal, you are clearly not that 
intelligent.>

Pretending to be Friendly (i.e. claiming Friendliness but constantly developing 
scenarios, calculating the odds, and attempting to "slide one past society") is 
also a bad idea because a truly effective Friendly society will make sure that 
the expected utility of any given transgression is negative by ratcheting up 
the sanction to the necessary level to do so (to compensate for the fact that 
the expense of doing so is a drain on both society and the entity itself).  
Human society is currently not that effective -- to the extent that it 
frequently *appears* (if not actually *IS*) more worthwhile to occasionally 
defect (especially since human society doesn't have it's goals clearly defined 
enough) . . . . but I believe that we ARE trending in the correct direction 
(and hopefully the Attractor Theory will help get us there).

TAKE-AWAY:  You want to be a Friendly member in a Friendly Society because 
doing so is to your advantage and not doing so has a reasonable probability of 
getting your butt kicked.

Part 5 will include, as promised, either "The nature of evil" or "The good, the 
bad, and the evil" -- after an interlude that really changed my mind about a 
number of things. 

-------------------------------------------
agi
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