Jim Bromer wrote:
In most situations this is further limited because one CAN'T know all of the
consequences. So one makes probability calculations weighting things not
only by probability of occurrence, but also by importance. So different
individuals disagree not only on the definition of best, but also on the
weights given to the potential outcomes.
As far as I can tell, the idea of making statistical calculation about
what we don't know is only relevant for three conditions.
The accuracy of the calculation is not significant.
The evaluation is near 1 or 0.
The problem of what is not known is clearly within a generalization
category and a measurement of the uncertainty is also made within a
generalization category valid for the other generalization category.
If "free will" has any other components, what do you think they are?
But we can make choices about things that are not known based on opinion.
Jim Bromer
...
Could you define "opinion" in an operational manner, i.e. in such a way
that it was specified whether a particular structure in a database
satisfied that or not? Or a particular logical operation?
Otherwise I am forced to consider opinion as a conflation of probability
estimates and desirability evaluations. This doesn't seem consistent
with your assertion (i.e., if you intended opinion to be so defined, you
wouldn't have responded in that way), but I have no other meaning for it.
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agi
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