Dear List,

I think I'd like to state my problem more clearly.

What I think to be the estimate of the overall variance is the expected
variance in the future samples. This have to do with what kind of sampling
scheme we use in the future, however.

If we could assume the future samples to be enough apart from each other,
then I'd have no problem using the sill value we calculated from the
experimental variogram. Or, if we're talking about setting up a standard
value so we could compare the maximum possible variances to that of other
samples, I'd also have little doubt on the estimation using the sill
value. Otherwise I think the sill value would be generally an
over-estimation of the variance for a future sample, even for samples
collected with complete spatial randomness in the future.

And again, please correct me if I missed any important point along the
discussion. I'd really like to be careful about (geo)stats, but probably
not as careful about asking questions.


Mng-yng

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