@Dipankar: You are correct about the answer to your alternative
question being 17/80, but your answer 3/5 says that you don't think
you have learned anything by the five heads flips. Don has given a
good explanation as to why the answer is 17/18, but you apparently
refuse to accept it. There is none so blind as one who will not see.

Dave

On Aug 8, 9:26 pm, Dipankar Patro <[email protected]> wrote:
> 3/5.
>
> As the question doesn't ask anything about the sequence.
> Had the question been " Find the probability that all 6 are H " then it
> would have been 17/80.
>
> On 9 August 2011 04:07, Dave <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
> > @Vinay: What if you tossed 100 consecutive heads? Would that be enough
> > to convince you that you had the double-headed coin? If so, then
> > doesn't tossing 5 consecutive heads give you at least an inkling that
> > you might have it? Wouldn't you then think that there would be a
> > higher probability of getting a head on the sixth toss than there was
> > on the first toss (3/5)? Don's conditional probability answer 17/18 is
> > the right answer.
>
> > Dave
>
> > On Aug 8, 5:04 pm, vinay aggarwal <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > answer should be 3/5
> > > think like that tossing 5 times will not help you predict the outcome
> > > of sixth toss. Therefore that information is meaningless.
>
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