(Subjective) investigations into the 'human condition' have been going on, in parallel with our search for objective truths, as long as humanity has been around.
This body of information has been collected and preserved, by the few, for the benefit of mankind (the many) and consitutes a SCIENCE to its guardians, adherents and students. >From that body of WISDOM two principles can be extracted that are relevant to your comments: holism is universally persistent (all things are made in the IMAGE of the creator) and, flowing from that, we derive the principle of CORRESPONDENCE (operating principles in one sphere, have their corresponding principle in another)... ...but that is going to far OT. Over to trading (OR how the above relates to trading): Over the long term the bias of the (stock) market is a function of the earnings performance of the component companies. This is skewed by the behaviour of market participants, which introduces randomness to the markets. The shorter the timeframe the more dominant is 'randomness' (which of course is not true randomness). (If you are interested in the subject of organising principles and holism Carl Jung's work on Psychological Archetypes is a wonderful example of how the universal paradigms play out in the affairs of wo/mankind). brian_z *:-) --- In [email protected], "Ronald Davis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > I maintain the view that algorithms exist in nature, and that people who develop algorighms are only discovering another one of nature's secrets. > > When my son first showed me Amibroker several years ago, I looked at charts with Stochastics, and RSI, and I became convinced that mother nature has algorithms that can find the central core of all of that volatility. > > I have yet to discover mother nature's algorighms, but my attempts have led me to some conclusions. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ------ > > My results WERE BEST when I "AVERAGED THE LAST SEVERAL HUNDRED DAYS OF ACTIVITY" > > and watched the LAST 9 DAYS>of the performance of this average of hundreds of days. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ------ > > My results WERE LESS GOOD when I "AVERAGED OF LAST 9 DAYS OF ACTIVITY" > > and watched the LAST 9 DAYS>of the performance of this average of only 9 days. > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ----- > > Hope this helps someone. Ron D > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------- > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: Louis Préfontaine > To: [email protected] > Sent: Thursday, March 20, 2008 10:25 PM > Subject: [amibroker] Philosophical question > > > Hi group, > > I just began reading Howard Bandy's book (even though I did not finish Aronson's book yet...), and a somehow philosophical question came to my mind when he speaks about the market's inefficiency and how we must take advantage of it. He talks both about moving averages and breakout, and I was wondering which one of the two techniques do you think is the more promising for such a system? > > I ask this because as far as subjective technical analysis is concerned, I am more used with breakout techniques. But the real inefficiency in breakout techniques comes from time, that is if one can act quickly enough to make a profit from the sudden change in price. But from my experience it seems to be more difficult with EOD or hourly data. And it is less profitable for someone (like me) who is using options, which tend to anticipate the change quicker than it really happens. > > Moving averages techniques, on the other side, seems a bit mystical to me, and maybe a bit too simple or too « easy ». I don't know much about them... > > But anyway, my question is: which one of those two techniques do you prefer, or do you use both for entering a trade, or shorting a trade? What can be a good way to trade for someone (like me) who wants to trade hourly data and can't always get the beginning of a breakout? > > Thanks! > > Louis >
