Why assume . it's simple enough to test after the fact .

 

  _____  

From: [email protected] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf
Of Steve Dugas
Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 9:10 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Thanks Fred, that is what I thought and it makes sense but I was not sure
how it works internally. I guess it just does fewer tests but there is a
logic that determines which points it tests next, based on results from
recently tested points. So for the heck of it, let me reverse the question.
Assuming it finds something good, and that it then tests tests some other
points in the area, I wonder if we might assume, since it only returned the
one line at 200%, that most likely the surrounding values were not so good?

 

BTW, I have at times found some pretty nice plateaus with CMAE, sometimes
they jump right out at you the same as with an exhaustive opt. The problem
was that it would often miss them too. Even though the math may not make
sense, I find that results seem much more consistant with 31 runs. Go
figure?

 

Steve

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Fred <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  Tonetti 

To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[email protected]> ps.com 

Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 7:39 PM

Subject: RE: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

The only way to purposely find plateaus is to test for them during in sample
optimization . 

 

Not doing so may result in some sort of plateau any way but you won't really
know where your parameter values are relative to the geography of the
plateau or if other larger plateaus exist

 


  _____  


From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[email protected]> ps.com
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Steve Dugas
Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 3:44 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Thank you TJ - Would you mind answering one more question about the results?
Suppose I am optimizing on CAR. And when the CMAE opt is done, the first
line shows 200%, followed by a bunch of lines at 100% with closely related
params.  In exhaustive opt, I would ignore the 200% in favor of all the
100%'s.  In CMAE opt, does the fact that it returned one 200% line mean that
it has found some sort of a plateau around those param values - i.e., would
you consider trying those param values going forward? Thanks very much!

 

Steve

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Tomasz Janeczko <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  

To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[email protected]> ps.com 

Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 3:24 PM

Subject: Re: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Hello,

 

Zero as default is good. In that case internally it is set to 900 * square
of ( number of params + 3 ). 

 

As for Runs you should never go beyond 10 because of exponential growth of
search space.

 

Runs 31 means 2^31 (=2147483648 ) times larger search. Makes no sense.


Best regards,
Tomasz Janeczko
amibroker.com

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Steve Dugas <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  

To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[email protected]> ps.com 

Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 8:52 PM

Subject: Re: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Hi TJ - I read in the ReadMe that the default for MaxEval is 0, and it is
advised not to change it. If I define it myself as 0, is that different from
not defining it at all and just accepting the default?

 

Yes, I read that it is advised not to go over 10 runs, but in experimenting,
Runs = 31 and MaxEval = 0 seems to return quite good and consistant results
whereas 5 or 10 runs seems hit-or-miss and results can vary quite a bit. But
maybe I am screwing things up by defining Runs as 0?

 

Steve 

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Tomasz Janeczko <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  

To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[email protected]> ps.com 

Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 2:29 PM

Subject: Re: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Hello,

 

This is entirely wrong combination of params. 

MaxEval should be AT LEAST 2000. Runs should NEVER be set to anything
greater than 10, with 5 being resonable max.


Best regards,
Tomasz Janeczko
amibroker.com

----- Original Message ----- 

From: Steve Dugas <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  

To: Yahoo - AmiBroker <mailto:[email protected]>  

Sent: Saturday, August 09, 2008 8:03 PM

Subject: [amibroker] CMAE question

 

Hi - I am playing around with the CMAE opt engine. MaxEval is set to 0 by me
(instead of just accepting default). For Runs, if I enter any number up to
31, it will warn me about taking lots of time, and at 31 runs it says I have
about 1.5B opt steps. If I enter any any number > 31, it may or may not warn
me, and when it doesn't warn me, behavior of the progress box appears
different. Am I overflowing the max allowed opt steps? Is there some limit
to this algorithm? Any other thoughts why things are different sometimes?
Thanks very much!

 

Steve

 


  _____  


I am using the free version of SPAMfighter for private users.
It has removed 522 spam emails to date.
Paying users do not have this message in their emails.
Try SPAMfighter <http://www.spamfighter.com/len>  for free now!



 


  _____  

I am using the free version of SPAMfighter for private users.
It has removed 522 spam emails to date.
Paying users do not have this message in their emails.
Try SPAMfighter <http://www.spamfighter.com/len>  for free now!

Reply via email to