Yes, how big that part is, that is what I would be curious about.

On Fri, Apr 8, 2016 at 11:32 AM Nuria Ruiz <[email protected]> wrote:

> >Basically, to capture only people who already have a Wikimedia-cookie,
> and count those.
> Ah, yes, now I get it.
>
> Yes. We have done these calculations and they under report by quite a bit
> cause you need two visits to wikipedia to have a cookie (cookie is set on
> your first visit, sent back on the 2nd visit) so as you said you will miss
> all 1-hit visits in a monthly period, for example. Whether this matters
> depends on user's browsing patterns, it turns out that 1-hit visits make up
> quite a significant part of our traffic.
>
>
>
>
> On Fri, Apr 8, 2016 at 11:22 AM, Denny Vrandečić <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>
>> +Wikimedia Analytics <[email protected]>
>>
>> Thanks for pointing me to the list, I should have written there in the
>> first place.
>>
>> Sorry, with "user agent" term, I didn't mean the actual user agent
>> string, but rather what you are trying to express with "unique device" -
>> i.e. the different browsers on a single mobile device. I should have just
>> stayed with your terminology to make it less confusing.
>>
>> Basically, to capture only people who already have a Wikimedia-cookie,
>> and count those. This would still underreport - as it would miss all that
>> only came once - but not by too much, I'd think. Right now I am more
>> worried about overreporting.
>>
>> I hope this is a bit clearer.
>>
>>
>>
>> On Fri, Apr 8, 2016 at 11:16 AM Nuria Ruiz <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Denny:
>>>
>>> Best list to ask these kinds of questions is analytics@ (cc-ed).
>>>
>>> >A minor question - could you also count the number of unique recurring
>>> user agents per month? I.e. the number of visits that return and have a
>>> still valid cookie (e.g. by >marking the cookie after the count).
>>> mmm...Not sure what you mean by "recurring" as you can have thousands of
>>> people with the same user agent, right? Think "everyone in Seattle with an
>>> iPhone and the latest OS using Safari" . You can add other pieces of info
>>> like IP, but in mobile and due to NAT-ing [1] that can also mean a group of
>>> thousands of people. So it will always under-report heavily the number of
>>> unique devices if you use "recurring user agents" as base for your main
>>> calculation.
>>>
>>> Now, I might be missing something as your question is brief, maybe you
>>> can elaborate a bit more ?
>>>
>>>
>>> >I am worried that the current number, due to the freshness offset
>>>  might be overreporting
>>> Since the offset calculation takes IP into account when looking for
>>> freshness and it only keeps devices having 1 event without cookies and 0
>>> with cookies the calculation is likely to under-report in mobile, due to,
>>> again, NAT-ing and user agents being shared among many devices. We see this
>>> on our data as smaller offset numbers in mobile projects than desktop
>>> projects. Now, this methodology might over report for a user that uses many
>>> distinct IPS, same browser, does 1 request and clears cookies after every
>>> session, now this is a far less often a common of a scenario.
>>>
>>> Hopefully this makes sense.
>>>
>>>
>>> >Again, congratulations on the work! I am really happy to see the WMF
>>> not being dependent on a commercial traffic numbers provider anymore!
>>> Many thanks for reading!
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>  [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_address_translation
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Fri, Apr 8, 2016 at 10:30 AM, Denny Vrandečić <[email protected]>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Hi Nuria, Aaron,
>>>>
>>>> first congratulations on the Unique devices work! I am really impressed
>>>> by the solution and the dataset. I am looking forward to the visualizations
>>>> that will come out from this.
>>>>
>>>> A minor question - could you also count the number of unique recurring
>>>> user agents per month? I.e. the number of visits that return and have a
>>>> still valid cookie (e.g. by marking the cookie after the count).
>>>>
>>>> My reasoning is the following: knowing well that it would possibly
>>>> further underreport the number of unique user agents, it would get rid of
>>>> all user agents that clean their cookies out or that use some form of
>>>> incognito mode. It would only count people who have been there, got a
>>>> cookie, returned, and then we mark the cookie, and don't count them further
>>>> until it expires.
>>>>
>>>> I am worried that the current number, due to the freshness offset [1],
>>>> might be overreporting, and I do not agree fully with your reasoning in
>>>> that page that this is OK. Counting only the recurring ones would clean
>>>> that up, give a more reliable number, although it would potentially
>>>> underreport the people who indeed only come once a month (a number I don't
>>>> expect to be too large).
>>>>
>>>> It would be interesting to see these two numbers side by side.
>>>>
>>>> Again, congratulations on the work! I am really happy to see the WMF
>>>> not being dependent on a commercial traffic numbers provider anymore!
>>>>
>>>> Cheers,
>>>> Denny
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> [1]
>>>> https://wikitech.wikimedia.org/wiki/Analytics/Unique_Devices/Last_access_solution#How_big_of_a_percentage_does_the_offset_represent_from_the_total.3F
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>
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