I don't think it's realistic to expect any company like Google to tip 
their hand as to the direction they're going in. The moment Google 
announce anything Android related you can be sure that Nokia, Motorola, 
and Apple will be doing a feature comparison check and looking to make 
sure that they're covering similar functionality.

As with any market independent developers will always run the risk of 
having some bigger fish come and steal their niche, an app that one 
person writes may get dominated by an app from a 3 man shop, which in 
turn may get dominated by a larger software house, and so on.

I'm involved with a company which is small (<5 people), has no VC or 
bank loans, and has at least one direct competitor which has $20 million 
plus of VC funding, and yet their turnover is growing at over 20% per 
year and it's making a healthy profit. As with most markets it'll come 
down to quality and customer service, so even if Google does go 
head-to-head with an app a developer has written it's not Game Over, 
it's just a new set of challenges to deal with.

Al.

JP wrote:
> I suppose we all noticed that the elephant in the room has released a
> fistful of free apps, Picasa upload, MyMaps for Google Maps come to
> mind. All nice work of course, and these apps help lift the quality of
> the Market. But is this a good thing? I wonder if this deters
> independent developers and firms developing quality apps themselves.
> Who knows what Google's up to, and once they release "against" a
> similar app that you happen to work on, it's Game Over.
> Your thoughts on this? Should Google share their plans for app
> development in an effort to mitigate a cannibalization of the Market?
>
> >
>   


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The views expressed in this email are those of the author and not 
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