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1)http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0,,542-255384,00.html

The Times (London)
April 3, 2002

Winning the East
Ukraine's election has serious consequences for Europe
 
-Ukraine, together with Belarus and Moldova, forms a
ribbon of bad government along the former Soviet
Union�s western border. 
-That ribbon happens also to be the grey zone for Nato
expansion. As long as Moscow sees this expansion as
directed against its own interests, it has no
incentive to push for change in these countries. The
West, by contrast, should make clear that unless there
is change, they will remain excluded from Nato, from
the European Union and from the continent�s
mainstream.
 
 
The outcome of the general election in Ukraine could
hardly have been worse. The Government was not
defeated, the reformers did not win and the likelihood
now is a hung Parliament with the Communists and
maverick independents holding the balance of power.
Ukraine�s difficulties have been largely ignored by
the rest of Europe. But with a land mass as large as
France and with almost 50 million people, it is
crucial to Europe�s strategic balance. A prime Western
aim has been to prevent it drifting back, or being
forcibly reabsorbed, into Russia�s orbit. This has
prompted Western leaders to bolster its independence
with aid and political support. Huge sums have been
given to close down Chernobyl. The Americans give more
aid to Ukraine than to almost anyone else. There is
little to show for all this. 
The divisions in Ukrainian society that have thwarted
all attempts to establish an identity and direction in
more than 10 years of independence have been deepened.
The election itself was so marred by fraud, violence
and vote-rigging that the process of democracy has
been discredited, giving those dissatisfied with the
result an excuse to ignore the verdict. President
Kuchma has no incentive to reform his scandal-prone
administration, nor do the reformers have any
incentive to push for change. 

Ukraine is condemned to further bickering, economic
stagnation and debilitating corruption. 

Few Ukrainians had much hope that the election would
pull their country out of stagnation. There are too
many interests entrenched in the present sclerosis, in
preventing reformers carrying out the necessary
economic liberalisation or democrats insisting on a
purge of corruption. The dismissal of the former Prime
Minister, Viktor Yushchenko, by President Kuchma last
year quashed the only real attempt to invigorate the
economy and encourage outside investment. His party,
Our Ukraine, won too few seats at the weekend,
however, to avenge his dismissal; it could form a
government only in coalition with the pro-Kuchma For
United Ukraine, its political enemies, or the
Communists, its economic opponents. Nor would any
other political combination assure stability: the
Communists have said they would seek to impeach Mr
Kuchma. 

The election was seen by most as a test of Mr Kuchma�s
popularity and a dry run for the presidential
election, due in 2004, where he will seek a further
term of office for himself or a hand-picked successor.
The inconclusive result condemns the country to more
uncertainty: Mr Kuchma, whose standing and authority
have been seriously weakened by the uproar over
accusations that he ordered the grisly murder of a
political journalist and by charges of profiteering
from illegal arms sales, has been hurt by a loss of
parliamentary support. But he remains firmly at the
helm. 

Russia has long been accused in Ukraine of trying to
stifle independence, cynically supporting a weakened
Kuchma in return for obeissance to the Kremlin and
using Ukraine�s energy debts as a form of economic
blackmail. The accusation would carry more weight if
Russia had not so obviously outstripped its former
possession in economic reform, democracy and political
maturity. Ukraine, together with Belarus and Moldova,
forms a ribbon of bad government along the former
Soviet Union�s western border. 

That ribbon happens also to be the grey zone for Nato
expansion. As long as Moscow sees this expansion as
directed against its own interests, it has no
incentive to push for change in these countries. The
West, by contrast, should make clear that unless there
is change, they will remain excluded from Nato, from
the European Union and from the continent�s
mainstream.
 
 
2)http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0,,3-255376,00.html

The Times (London) 
April 03, 2002

Election allies rally to Kuchma
>From Alice Lagnado in Kiev
 
 
 
PRESIDENT KUCHMA looked set to continue dominating
Ukraine�s parliamentary affairs yesterday, despite
failing to win an overall majority in the weekend
general elections. 
In a move which critics claim threatens to undermine
the fledgling democracy on the borders of Europe,
smaller parties are expected to unite with the
pro-Kuchma bloc to form a coalition government. 

The continued rule of Mr Kuchma�s allies mean that he
will not face impeachment proceedings over accusations
of murdering a journalist critical of his Government
and selling arms to Iraq. 

The main pro-Kuchma bloc, For a United Ukraine, won
101 seats in the 450-seat legislature. It is expected
to gain the support of the Communist Party, which won
66 seats, the Social Democrats and other
pro-presidential groupings. Ninety-three independent
MPs may also side with the presidential bloc. 

The results were accompanied by widespread allegations
of vote-rigging and intimidation of the opposition.
Hanne Severinsen, head of a Council of Europe observer
mission, said: �Queues were huge and people just gave
up. This means fewer voters were able to cast their
vote. Seeing the incompetence, (ballot-rigging) could
have happened.� 

�We are disappointed that the Government of Ukraine
did not move in a proactive manner to ensure a level
playing field for all political parties,� Philip
Reeker, a US State Department spokesman, said. 

Viktor Yushchenko, a former Prime Minister and leader
of the main opposition bloc Our Ukraine, said his
party might challenge some of the results in court.
His Our Ukraine won 112 seats, far less than the
number of votes needed for a majority. 

However, the reformist credentials of Our Ukraine have
also been questioned: the bloc contains a broad
grouping of candidates, ranging from representatives
of Russian big business and scandal-ridden politicians
with ties to Mr Kuchma. Observers doubt that the
opposition will create a united anti-Kuchma front. 

 
 
 
 
   


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