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Beijing Gearing for Potential Clash with U.S.

<http://www.gvnews.net/html/DailyNews/alert571.html>

By Chris Cockel
The China Post

WASHINGTON, Mar 21, 2002 -- In its training, mainland China's
military is preparing for a possible future conflict with the U.S. over
Taiwan, CIA Director George Tenet said on Tuesday.

  "Over the past year, Beijing's military training exercises have taken
on an increasingly real-world focus. This is aimed not only at Taiwan,
but also at increasing the risk to the United States itself in any
future Taiwan contingency," Tenet told the U.S. Senate Armed Services
Committee in Washington.

  This training, according to Tenet, emphasizes "rigorous practice, and
operational capabilities, and improving the military's actual ability
to use force."

  Nevertheless, "Taiwan remains the focus of China's military
modernization programs," he said, during his testimony focusing on
global threats to U.S. interests.

  Mainland China has become increasingly concerned in recent years of
what it perceives as a continuing U.S. policy of containment, using
Taiwan as something of a "bargaining chip" in the Asia-Pacific region. 
This fear on the part of Beijing has to some extent been heightened by
the presence of increasing numbers of U.S. troops in Central and
Southeast Asia and closer military cooperation with Japan since
September 11.

  Beijing "fears that we (the U.S.) are gaining regional influence at
China's expense, and it views our encouragement of the Japanese
military role in counter-terrorism as a support for Japanese
rearmament," explained Tenet.

  The CIA chief stated that last year the leaders in Beijing had become
"complacent" on the issue of Taiwan, encouraged by the fact that
increasing economic integration across the Taiwan Strait was "boosting
Beijing's long-term leverage."

  He noted that the mandate of President Chen Shui-bian had been
strengthened domestically by the results of last December's legislative
and local elections, but warned of "a more confrontational stance" from
Beijing if Chen was to use this mandate to move toward independence.

  Membership of the World Trade Organization (WTO) will prove to be a
major challenge in terms of internal stability for the mainland, and
particularly for the new set of leaders due to be named at the 16th
Communist Party Congress in October, he stated.

  Tenet also highlighted U.S. concern over the mainland's continued
proliferation of missile technology to countries such as Iran, Libya
and North Korea.

  "We (the CIA) have deep concern that the Chinese are engaging in
activities that continue to be inimical not just to our interests, but
that their activity stimulates secondary activities that only
complicate the threat we face, our forces face and our allies face," he
cautioned.

  At a recent U.S.-mainland China conference on arms control and
nonproliferation held in Washington, mainland officials were said to
have been insulted by such accusations, which are hotly denied by
Beijing. Senator Jim Bunning, a member of the committee, accused the
leaders in Beijing along with those in Tehran of being "schizophrenic"
in their approach to the war on terror. While offering assistance to
the U.S., the mainland is at the same time "creating the tools of
terror" which are then sold to so-called "rogue states" that may harbor
terrorists, he said.

  Bunning and three other U.S. senators visited Taiwan in April last
year and met President Chen, after canceling a trip to the mainland
over the EP-3 spy plane standoff between Washington and Beijing.

  Proliferation by mainland firms is in some cases condoned by mainland
China's government, according to Tenet. However, the threat to the
U.S. and its allies is compounded by the combination of proliferation
from mainland China, Russia and North Korea, which allows other states
or groups to develop their own weapons capability. "So the line has to
be drawn hard. We have to look at the regimes that are currently in
place," he concluded.

  In his testimony on Capitol Hill on Tuesday before the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee, Carl Ford, U.S. assistant secretary of state for
intelligence and research, outlined the possibility that mainland
China has maintained an offensive biological warfare program even after
signing the 1984 Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BWC). 
However, mainland China maintains that it has never possessed any
offensive biological weapons.

  "Many believe its (mainland China's) declaration under the BWC
confidence-building measures was inaccurate and incomplete," he
said.  Nevertheless, Ford stated that no evidence exists that the
mainland has engaged in the proliferation of biological or chemical
weapons.



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