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http://www.thescotsman.co.uk/international.cfm?id=1069792002

The Scotsman
September 26, 2002

America ready to train rebel army 
Tim Cornwell Deputy Foreign Editor 


-"We have graduated to the next step of regime
change," a Bush administration official told the
newspaper.
-Mr Wolfowitz is counted among a small but influential
group inside the Bush administration who see the
overthrow of Saddam as the possible first step to
redrawing the map of the Middle East in America�s
favour. 
-One conservative commentator argued in the Wall
Street Journal recently that Iraq was a country "in
name only", cobbled together by Britain in the style
of Yugoslavia, in the wake of the First World War. 




THE Bush administration will provide military training
for up to 10,000 members of the Iraqi opposition in a
major policy shift. 

The White House may ask the US congress to release
funds for the training as early as this week. Close to
$100 million (�64 million) is available under the 1998
Iraq Liberation Act. 

Those chosen for training will be drawn from all of
Iraq�s three major ethnic and religious groups,
officials said. They are the Iraqi Kurds in the north,
the majority Shia Muslims and the minority Sunni
Muslims, from whom Saddam traditionally draws his
support. 

"This is a fundamental change in US policy. The US has
refused for years to provide us with combat training,"
said a member of the London-based Iraqi National
Congress. 

But the Iraqis will be trained mostly as "support
staff" to co-ordinate with and help American forces,
the Los Angeles Times reported. They would not be used
to "lead the charge" against Saddam. 

"We have graduated to the next step of regime change,"
a Bush administration official told the newspaper.
"They will be trained on US systems and military
capabilities, but that does not mean creating an armed
insurrection group to go in itself as a tripwire." 

President George Bush has repeatedly called for
"regime change" in Iraq. But the US has long feared
the consequences of a full-scale revolt that could
split the country. 

In 1991, after driving Iraqi forces out of Kuwait,
Washington refused to protect or back a series of
rebellions inside Iraq. It allowed Saddam Hussein�s
forces to reassert control with brutal force. 

Washington�s particular fear has been that the Shia
majority could establish an Islamic state in the
south, closely allied with Shia Iran, which President
Bush named as the third country, with North Korea, in
the "axis of evil". In 1991, Shia Muslims briefly
seized major cities in southern Iraq. Their leaders
appeared on posters alongside Iran�s Ayatollah
Khomeini - now dead, but a figure whose influence
America dreaded. 

The situation with the Kurds, who have already carved
out a northern enclave under the umbrella of the
allied "no flight" zone, is almost equally volatile. 

Turkey this week warned that it will not stand by if a
Kurdish state emerges in northern Iraq. It fears such
a region would be used as a base for Turkey�s Kurds to
relaunch an armed campaign for their own lands. 

"We will not tolerate, in any way, the formation of a
new state in northern Iraq," said Sukru Sina Gurel,
the Turkish foreign minister. 

It followed the threat last month by Sabahattin
Cakmakoglu, Turkey�s defence minister, to put troops
in northern Iraq to prevent the Kurds consolidating
power. 

The 1998 act allowed the Pentagon to provide training,
but not weaponry, to seven opposition groups. But
hardly any of the money set aside has been spent. The
Clinton and Bush administrations refused requests from
the various groups for help. But policy changed after
a meeting of Iraqi opposition groups last month, when
officials decided they could "turn the corner and be a
vehicle for hastening Saddam�s departure". 

Pentagon hawks pushing for Washington to back the
Iraqi opposition include Donald Rumsfeld, the defence
secretary, and Paul Wolfowitz, his deputy. Three years
ago, the two men signed a letter to the then
president, Bill Clinton, urging him to offer support. 

Mr Wolfowitz is counted among a small but influential
group inside the Bush administration who see the
overthrow of Saddam as the possible first step to
redrawing the map of the Middle East in America�s
favour. 

By installing a pro-US government there, it is argued,
Washington could boost its influence over neighbouring
Iran and Syria. 

One conservative commentator argued in the Wall Street
Journal recently that Iraq was a country "in name
only", cobbled together by Britain in the style of
Yugoslavia, in the wake of the First World War. 

But it is clear that the Bush administration is
approaching the offer of training carefully. 

Plans to use some Iraqis as advance teams or
"spotters" for US ground and air strikes have been
scrapped in favour of enlisting interpreters and
guides.  




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