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http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,799044,00.html

UN's big five prepare for tough talks 
Diplomacy US seeks council backing for 'brief'
resolution

Oliver Burkeman in New York, Nick Paton Walsh in
Moscow, Jon Henley in Paris, John Gittings in Shanghai
and Nicholas Watt
Thursday September 26, 2002
The Guardian

Diplomats from the "big five" powers, which call the
shots at the United Nations, are bracing themselves
for a fresh round of intensive negotiations on Iraq. 

The moment that the United States tables its draft
resolution in a public sitting of the security
council, the doors will close again as diplomats from
the US, Britain, France, China and Russia work round
the night to agree a final text. 

While there are small differences between Britain and
the US, the main bones of contention are between the
"sceptical three". They are: Russia, which initially
saw no need for a fresh resolution after Iraq's offer
to re-admit inspectors; France, which believes that
Iraq should be treated carefully with a two-stage
process; and China, which is wary of America throwing
its weight around. 

United States


Washington's commitment to a new resolution
authorising the use of force if Saddam Hussein fails
to allow unfettered inspections remains the
unshiftable bedrock of negotiations at the UN. 

But last-minute tensions arose following the US
secretary of state, Colin Powell's declaration, in a
BBC radio interview, that Washington might pursue
"regime change" in Iraq even if the Iraqi leader
complies fully with weapons inspections, a position to
which none of the other permanent security council
members subscribe. American officials sought to defuse
any potential dispute, insisting that the resolution
text proposed by the US would focus only on
disarmament and the consequences for President Saddam
if he frustrated inspections. 

It would be brief and simply worded, they said,
declaring Iraq in "material breach" of the terms of
the Gulf War ceasefire, setting out terms and a
timeframe for new inspections, and concluding that if
Iraq failed to comply, it could be forced to do so by
all necessary means. 

The US gave a frosty reception to French suggestions
of a two-resolution approach, requiring the security
council to agree on military action at some stage in
the future. Although Washington had not closed the
door on that option, the official said, "we think one
resolution can do all of this, and if you try to move
beyond one, it gives the Iraqis many opportunities to
divide the council". 

Britain


London agrees with the US that a tough new inspections
regime must be established and that the threat of
military action must be spelt out to Iraq - in
diplomatic terms - if it refuses to comply. 

But relations between the two great allies hit a snag
this week when the British ambassador, Sir Jeremy
Greenstock, appeared to suggest that the US had placed
its "regime change" policy on ice. 

British diplomats embarked on a frantic damage
limitation exercise, claiming that Sir Jeremy's
remarks had been taken out of context at a lunch of
the 10 rotating members of the security council who
lack the power of veto. 

Officials, who insisted that Sir Jeremy was not
rewriting American foreign policy, was attempting to
win round waverers by saying that a successful
inspections regime would put off the policy of "regime
change". 

Russia


Russia, which initially said that it saw no need for a
fresh resolution in the light of Iraq's offer on
inspectors, underlined its unease yesterday when it
warned against the "propaganda furore" surrounding the
Blair dossier against Iraq. 

It called talk of the UN security council discussing a
new resolution "premature", despite growing
indications that the Kremlin is ready to discuss a
draft text and considers a security council vote
inevitable. 

Russia's foreign minister, Igor Ivanov, said in
Moscow: "I believe that only specialists and experts
can judge whether or not Iraq has weapons of mass
destruction. It is not worth creating a great
propaganda furore around this report." 

He added that Russia would not oppose "consultations
[on] the swiftest return of international inspectors.
[But] it is absolutely premature to speak about any
mutual drawing together of the positions of members of
the UN security council on such a resolution, which is
non-existent". 

France


French officials yesterday denied rumours that France
had already prepared a draft United Nations resolution
on Iraq, insisting that Paris was not even convinced
of the need for a new resolution. "We consider that
the most important thing now is that the weapons
inspectors are allowed in and have complete freedom to
do their job," one source said. 

But the officials said that France would "not object"
to a supplementary resolution, providing it merely
reiterated past requirements and "reminded Baghdad of
its obligations". Paris would welcome a deadline for
the inspectors' return, they said, but not any
reference to the possible consequences of
non-compliance. 

China


China is trying desperately to steer a middle line on
the Iraq crisis which will keep intact US-China
relations while not giving a blank cheque to President
Bush. 

A unilateral US war on Iraq would be a nightmare
scenario, especially with President Jiang Zemin due to
visit President Bush on his Crawford ranch later next
month, shortly before a crucial congress of the
communist party in November. 

Premier Zhu Rongji, now on a European tour, has been
the only Chinese leader to outline Beijing's
position.He has not ruled out a new UN resolution but
warns that any measures taken should respect Iraq's
"rational concerns about security". 

Mr Zhu has called on Iraq to submit to the inspectors
without prevarication, making it clear that China has
no illusions about Saddam Hussein. Yet he says there
should be no use of force without "irrefutable
evidence" from the inspectors, and any action must
have UN approval. 



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