On Jun 19, 2013, at 2:18 AM, George Herbert <[email protected]> wrote:

> 
> 
> 
> On Tue, Jun 18, 2013 at 1:14 PM, Owen DeLong <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> On Jun 18, 2013, at 7:14 PM, Mike Burns <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> Hi Jason,
>>  
>> 1. It has been argued that the larger ISPs have the prior advantage of 
>> holding highly valuable alienable assets which they received for free, which 
>> provide them with a competitive advantage over less endowed entities seeking 
>> to purchase addresses at a much higher relative price. 
> 
> Yes, it has been argued. It hasn't necessarily been substantiated, nor has 
> anyone raising said argument provided any real evidence to support it.
> 
> 
> There are any number of anecdotal examples of people complaining loudly they 
> could not get space, and are not being allowed to simply buy free-market 
> space they could theoretically pay for. 

That's not the same problem we are discussing. Frankly, I'm not certain that is 
a problem at all. If they do not have a justified need for the addresses 
according to the policies set by the community, one could argue that their 
inability to get addresses is not a problem, but the desired outcome. If the 
community agrees that their inability to get addresses is, in fact a problem, 
then we should, perhaps, look into ways to adjust the needs basis in policy so 
that they do qualify.

> It is not clear if this is the extent of the cases of problem, or just the 
> tip of the iceberg.

Indeed, it's not even clear whether or not this is a problem. Certainly, if it 
is a problem, it can be solved through mechanisms other than removing the needs 
basis requirements from policy.

>  What bothers me about your argument and the ARIN default position is that it 
> is not helping resolve the question of what extent the problem is widespread 
> vs anecdotal.

If you have a proposal for how to quantify the problem (either of the two 
problems we are discussing now), I am open to it.

To be clear, the two problems are:

        1.      To what extent are off-books transfers occurring?
        2.      To what extent are there organizations which the community 
feels should qualify for address space
                that cannot qualify under current policy?

> In the times leading up to End Times (v4 edition), default position was 
> reasonable.  In End Times (v4 edition) I think we owe the community a deeper 
> investigation.

Personally, I think we owe the community a definitive statement that the 
situation with IPv4 is bad and will only get worse. That IPv6 is the way 
forward and continuing to spend resources trying to keep IPv4 on life support 
is a bit of a money pit.

> I for one find ARIN-evading dark transfers and the like - which I am 
> anecdotally aware of, and many others are reporting similarly - a sign that 
> there's something seriously wrong.

Everyone seems to be anecdotally aware of these transfers, yet nobody can prove 
that they have happened. They are the boogeyman of IPv4 policy.

> I can't prove that.

I'm willing to accept, to some extent, that where there's smoke, there's fire. 
However, in this case, we don't even have smoke. We just have second or 
third-hand rumors that someone claims that something is smoking somewhere.

> What can we do to adequately investigate, and answer the question for 
> everyone's satisfaction?

I'm open to suggestions. However, I'm unwilling to void what has been very 
useful policy and reasonable safeguards based on an unsubstantiated rumor.

Owen

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