Hiya Jason,

This is where we disagree, as you suspect :)

Heart-of-the-matter (I think):  I don't identify good network operations 
reasons for penalizing small players with past usage and penalizing new 
entrants with 50% immediate usage.   Proper planning and build-out of a network 
requires sufficient inventory.   The mechanics in 2014-20 result in further 
fragmentation of the routing tables by requiring too may iterations of ARIN 
requests (in lieu of a single multi-year request resulting in a larger 
aggregate).

Respectfully,
David

David R Huberman
Microsoft Corporation
Principal, Global IP Addressing

From: Jason Schiller [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Thursday, September 18, 2014 10:55 AM
To: David Huberman
Cc: Owen DeLong; Kevin Blumberg; [email protected] List ([email protected])
Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] Draft Policy ARIN-2014-20: Transfer Policy Slow Start 
and Simplified Needs Verification

David,

I appreciate  your comments wrt if ARIN should accept a purely future looking 2 
year projected growth.  I think that is at the heart of this proposal.

My personal (ISP) experience is that ARIN allocations are always based on past 
usage, and if your 3 month need is greater than 1/4 your usage last year, then 
you are slow started, you get 1/4 of your last year's usage, and if you use it 
up in less than 1.5 months you get double, if you use it up in less than 3 
months you get the same size block, and if you use it up in more than three 
three months you fall back to your current utilization over the last year.

My personal End user experience has only been for things that currently exist 
(and the challenge of getting 25% of them numbered in 30 days, and 50% with in 
a year).

I have asked ARIN staff if they do provide addressing on a future looking 
projection that is greater than the past utilization.

I have completed no 8.3 / 8.4 transfers, and assumed the references to a 24 
month need, and comply with current ARIN policies would make the transfer 
subject to the same needs test for ARIN allocations, except that the end result 
would result in a two year need, instead of a one quarter need.  You seem to 
suggest this is not the case.

ARIN staff, can you comment on if you provide addressing on a future looking 
projection that is greater than the past utilization?

I wonder what the intent of the originator?

It seems this language comes from 2008-6.  "Number Resources may only be 
received under RSA in the exact amount which can be justified under ARIN 
resource-allocation policies.

This was further modified in 2011-11 where we reduce ARIN 
allocations/assignments to 3 months, and moved the 1 year restriction from the 
ARIN allocation/assignment section 4 to the transfer section.  This yields the 
more familiar text:

"...they can justify under current ARIN policies showing how the addresses will 
be utilized within 12 months."
At the time there was some contrversiy for how need should be determined for 
transfers, but that portion of the policy was dropped.
"not clear how "justified need" has been or should be determined, however this 
proposal no longer addresses this."

My read is 2011-11 leave the previous needs test in place.

This was immediately further modified by 2011-12 which simply extended the time 
from 12 to 24 months.

It was modified by 2011-1 which removed and added ARIN specific language to 
separate intra-ARIN transfers, but did not change the intra-ARIN policy 
otherwise.

2012-1 broke the requirements down into bullets and added additional 
requirements that the organization providing the space for transfer is 
ineligible for additional space from ARIN for 12 months, and could not have 
received ARIN space 12 months prior to the transfer.  It also established a 
minimum of a /24.

The text changed from:

"Such transferred number resources may only be received uder RSA by 
organizations that are within the ARIN region and can demonstrate the need for 
such resources in the amount wihch they can justify under current ARIN policies 
showing how the addresses will be utilized within 24 months"

to:
"Conditions on recipient of the transfer:
* The recipient must demonstrate the need for up to a 24 month supply of
IP address resources under current ARIN policies and sign an RSA.
* The resources transferred will be subject to current ARIN policies."

While the word "justify" is gone I believe the intent is still intact.  There 
is some discussion in the rational that
"The one key point that has been removed from the original text is that a needs 
based
review remains in place."

This refers to the original prop that added a clause to remove needs based 
reviews, which is not part of the adopted draft.
this text that was dropped is:
"and add to the NRPM Section 12:
10. ARIN will not use utilization as a measure of policy compliance
for addresses transferred under 8.3."

this was then further modified by 2012-3 but that just changed IP addresses to 
number resources...

------

On the other topic of MDN and TPIA...

This policy does not seek to change the definition of what counts as utilized.
It is my impression that if a transit provider's down stream customer has 130 
hosts, and is assigned a /24, that the transit provider can count all 256 of 
those IP addresses as utilized.

The same is true about TPIA.  Those TPIA resources can be counted as fully 
utilized assuming the initial assignment is the smallest CIDR needed to serve 
the customer base, and additional assignments represent a 3 month supply.

The same is true for residential market areas.  If the block assigned to the 
market area is at least 50% utilized, then all the addresses in the block can 
be counted as utilized.

As such I do not think the proposal will limit organizations using these 
mechanism.


MDN on the other hand, does lower the total utilization bar to 50% of the last 
block and on average, in order to allow for one discreet network to have just 
been topped up (and therefore under utilized) and allow another discreet 
network which is out, to get additional space.

___Jason

On Wed, Sep 17, 2014 at 2:40 PM, David Huberman 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
Kevin's very cogent call-outs were an eye opener for me.  TPIA has gotten the 
short-shrift from ARIN policy for a long time, and it's a very complex 
technical situation that needs careful thought.  MDN is a well-practiced policy 
that applies to specific situations that need different rules.   2014-20 as 
written inadvertently stomps on these.  That's fixable with language changes, 
surely.

But even before Kevin posted, I was concerned about the principles of 2014-20. 
The position that ARIN policy should somehow trump an organization's 24 month 
projections was big for me. Current 8.3 *as implemented* gives flexibility to 
the network operator to buy needed IPv4 addresses with a reasonable and 
business-sane timeline for building out.  You build a forecast, you show it to 
ARIN staff during the 8.3 or STLS process, and you go buy addresses to fill 
that need.

2014-20 seems to say "no, that's wrong. You can't have a 24 month supply based 
on forecast; you have to show past performance" which is something I don't 
agree with at all.  Needs basis should never be just looking backwards.  That 
approach ROYALLY penalizes newer entrants, and ignores networks which have 
irregular growth but recently did well with a product offering and need to 
quickly deploy a lot of new capacity.

Put this all together, and I find myself opposed to 2014-20.  I heartily 
applaud Jason for trying to solve a good problem which needs solving. I hope we 
can continue thinking and discussing solutions to a better solution for 
post-exhaustion transfers.

David R Huberman
Microsoft Corporation
Principal, Global IP Addressing

-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> 
[mailto:[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>] On 
Behalf Of Owen DeLong
Sent: Wednesday, September 17, 2014 11:25 AM
To: Kevin Blumberg
Cc: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> List 
([email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>)
Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] Draft Policy ARIN-2014-20: Transfer Policy Slow Start 
and Simplified Needs Verification

I haven't weighed in on this, but I will now.

I remain opposed to the idea of uncoupling transfer policy from section 4. 
There were good reasons we tied the original section 8 language to the existing 
section 4 requirements and I believe that the extent to which we have already 
uncoupled them has already had negative effects.

The 3 month limit on free pool allocations to ISPs is proving to be very 
dysfunctional. Creating incentives to move to the transfer market while a free 
pool remains is beneficial only to those seeking to profit from the IPv4 
marketplace and does nothing to benefit the community overall.

Yes, the slow start problems and some other problems need to be solved, but we 
should be solving them with updates to section 4 so that they are solved for 
both free pool and transfer applications.

Owen

On Sep 17, 2014, at 12:24 AM, Kevin Blumberg 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

> Jason,
>
> I'm specifically concerned about section 4.5 (Multiple Discrete Networks) and 
> 4.2.3.8 (Reassignments for Third Party Internet Access (TPIA) over Cable).
>
> The criteria for those policies I see as being in conflict with the 80 
> percent aggregate utilization in 8.3.2.1 text.
>
> 8.3.2.1 Minimum requirements
> Prior to qualifying for non-M&A address transfers, an organization must 
> demonstrate an average of 80% utilization, as measured under section 4, 
> across the aggregate of all addresses that are currently allocated, assigned, 
> reallocated, or reassigned to, or otherwise in use by, the organization.
>
> Thanks,
>
> Kevin
>
>
> From: Jason Schiller 
> [mailto:[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>]
> Sent: September 16, 2014 10:45 PM
> To: Kevin Blumberg
> Cc: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> List 
> ([email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>)
> Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] Draft Policy ARIN-2014-20: Transfer Policy
> Slow Start and Simplified Needs Verification
>
> Kevin,
>
> I am not sure I grasp the question.  If the organization is requesting a 
> direct allocation/assignment from  ARIN then they must qualify under 4.x.  If 
> the organization is requesting approval for transfer space, then they must 
> qualify under 8.x.
>
> I don't immediately see a case where you might qualify under 4.x but not 8.x 
> other than immediate need (I'll come to that shortly), but I'm guessing you 
> do, and we will need to deal with that.  Maybe something got lost in leveling 
> the playing field between ISP and End-user and if so I'm ok with that 
> (although maybe it should have tipped the other way).
>
> I consciously made "immediate need" different.  I think actually deployment 
> of in 30 days for ISPs or 25% in 30 days and 50% with in 1 year is a bit 
> burdensome, and I have heard that many Orgs ignore this.  I also think it is 
> problematic to size the block based purely on a future looking projection 
> with little recourse to correct things at the 30 day or 1 year mark.  I 
> wanted to put some teeth into it so I wanted proof of actual things to number 
> (maybe 50% is not the right figure).
>
> So what is the specific scenario you see?
>
> __Jason
>
> On Tue, Sep 16, 2014 at 10:07 PM, Kevin Blumberg 
> <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
> Jason,
>
> In a situation that a request would be approved under a 4.x section, but not 
> in 8.x, which would take precedence?
>
> Thanks,
>
> Kevin Blumberg
>
> _______________________________________________
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>
>
>
> --
> _______________________________________________________
> Jason 
> Schiller|NetOps|[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>|571-266-0006<tel:571-266-0006>
>
> _______________________________________________
> PPML
> You are receiving this message because you are subscribed to the ARIN
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_______________________________________________________
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