Another excellent piece Baruah. Thanks for sharing.

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At 8:41 PM -0400 7/7/08, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>The Telegraph (Calcutta)
>July 8, 2008
>
>http://www.telegraphindia.com/1080708/jsp/opinion/story_9504721.jsp#
>
>A CRISIS OF POLICY AND THE SOVEREIGNTY QUESTION
>
>Sanjib Baruah
>
>A unilateral ceasefire and a new governor may not be enough to end the
>cycle of violence and counter-violence in Assam, unless there is a
>radical renegotiation in the social contract between India and this
>state, writes Sanjib Baruah.
>
>
>Some in Assam like to see the unilateral ceasefire by the so-called
>Alpha and Charlie companies of United Liberation Front of Asom?s 28th
>battalion as good news. However, there is nothing in the history of
>the past two decades of the state?s politics to suggest that the
>state?s multi-faceted political crisis, of which Ulfa is a symptom,
>might end with new defections from Ulfa or, even a mutiny.
>
>A far more promising development may be the appointment of former
>chief minister of Rajasthan, Shiv Charan Mathur, as governor. For the
>first time in nearly two decades, Assam will have a politician as
>governor.
>
>Two other gubernatorial appointments in the region are significant.
>Sikkim?s new governor, the retired IAS officer, Balmiki Prasad Singh,
>is an old ?Northeast hand.? Unlike these two men, the new governor of
>Meghalaya, Ranjit Shekhar Mooshahary, has had a career in a uniformed
>all-India security service. But his Bodo roots makes it an interesting
>appointment.
>
>Governors of the northeastern states have more inputs in policymaking
>than in the less-troubled states. It is no coincidence that the
>primary thrust of our policy towards Ulfa during the tenure of the
>last two governors ? both military men ? has been military. The
>half-hearted steps toward negotiations were not the result of
>conviction on either side. They were gestures to satisfy Assamese
>public opinion that strongly favours a negotiated and honorable
>settlement with Ulfa.
>
>The outgoing governor, Ajay Singh, leaves behind a remarkably
>unsuccessful record of locking horns with Ulfa for nearly two decades.
>In the early Nineties, long before he became the governor, he
>commandeered two counter-insurgency operations against Ulfa as head of
>the Indian Army?s 4 Corps. As governor, he came to be associated with
>a hardline position of opposing talks with Ulfa.
>
>Singh claims in his resumé that as the commander of those
>counter-insurgency operations, he ?was given the responsibility of
>wiping out [the] Ulfa insurgency? and that he ?smashed the Ulfa
>insurgency in less than three months?. But that was more than fifteen
>years ago.
>
>While Ulfa is at a crossroads today, it is not because of its military
>reversals alone. Popular outrage at the killings of civilians, and a
>sense of hopelessness that there is no end in sight to the cycle of
>violence and counter-violence, are more important factors.
>
>There is no evidence that anyone knows how to use the shift in the
>public mood as a political opening. One hopes that the new
>gubernatorial appointments would mark a shift in the balance between
>military and political thinking. Even though Ulfa as an idea has
>always been more powerful than the reality, this has not made engaging
>with it any less challenging.
>
>The oft-repeated clichés about unemployment and underdevelopment
>creating conditions for recruitment by insurgent groups, and
>platitudes about solving the crisis of immigration through
>border-fencing do not give confidence that our decision-makers
>understand the sources of Ulfa?s political influence.
>
>The two most recent governors have both been highly vocal on the
>dangers of illegal immigration from Bangladesh. But to expect
>political dividends out of such speech-making on this extraordinarily
>difficult issue without addressing it in any substantial sense is to
>grossly misunderstand the nature of the immigration crisis and its
>relationship with the rise of Ulfa.
>
>Ulfa was a radical fringe of the Assam Movement of 1979-85. From the
>very beginning, it tried to distance itself from some of the Assam
>Movement?s extreme rhetoric on ?foreigners? and ?Bangladeshis.? At the
>same time it tried to get propaganda value out of the evident
>indifference of our governmental institutions to this key Assamese
>concern.
>
>But the immigration crisis, for Ulfa, has never been more than a piece
>of evidence of what it sees as a raw deal that the Assamese got in the
>postcolonial pan-Indian dispensation.
>
>India?s political and bureaucratic elites inherit a memory of
>Partition vastly different from that of their counterparts in Assam.
>Few people seem to know that the migration from eastern Bengal was a
>politically explosive issue in Assam even as far back as the 1930s.
>Indeed, it shaped Assamese attitudes towards Partition.
>
>The flow of people from one of the subcontinent?s most densely
>populated areas to a sparsely populated region ? legally open to new
>settlements in colonial times ? did not stop with Partition. The
>erection of an international border did not change that reality.
>Indeed, from the Assamese point of view, the effect of Partition was
>to intensify the migration pressure from eastern Bengal, with waves of
>Hindu refugees joining in.
>
>In retrospect, Assam appears to have adapted to this demographic
>transformation rather well. Official predictions of the 1930s that
>immigration would permanently alter the future of Assam and destroy
>?the whole structure of Assamese culture and civilization? did not
>materialize. But it is not because the predicted demographic changes
>did not take place: they did, with profound consequences. But contrary
>to the fears of the colonial era, most East Bengali migrant Muslims
>adopted Assamese as their mother tongue. No one familiar with the
>relationship between demographic dynamics and civil disorder in other
>parts of the world would read this as a sign that everyone would live
>happily ever after.
>
>Japanese scholar Hiroshi Sato talks about the faultline between the
>normative definition of citizenship in Indian law, and the actual
>exercise of franchise by people ?based on the legitimacy of
>rudimentary documents rather than on the registration of citizenship.?
>The ?foreigners? question in Assam is the product of this faultline.
>Understood in this way, it is not surprising that the issue became the
>epicentre of a veritable political explosion in Assam in 1979. There
>is no evidence that the ripples of this explosion have subsided.
>
>The power of Ulfa as an idea reflects a policy impasse of
>subcontinental proportions, showing up the failures of Partition
>borders and of the foundational ideologies of the post-Partition
>states. Assam?s numerous tribal rebellions, and evidence of candidates
>of mainstream political parties turning to Ulfa?s tacit support during
>elections, and of even the government relying on such support in
>certain situations ? relations facilitated by the massive corruption
>that the state has become known for ? outline the multi-faceted nature
>of the crisis. If political movements relate to reality, either to the
>bare facts, or to strivings that grow out of a reality, Ulfa provides
>an example of the latter.
>
>In Ulfa?s narrative of history, Assam lost its sovereignty in 1826. It
>sees itself as being engaged in a battle to recover that sovereignty.
>This reading of history has its elements of myth and fantasy. But as
>the veteran journalist, M.S. Prabhakara, points out, ?a certain
>wistfulness and nostalgia over a past when Assam was a sovereign and
>independent political entity,? have been part of Assamese ?folk
>memories, literature and cultural and political polemics,? for a long
>time.
>
>To the military mindset, Ulfa?s insistence on discussing sovereignty
>might seem audacious, especially given the organization?s weak
>position. At the same time, it is hard to imagine how the strivings
>that animate Ulfa can be accommodated within the model of an ethnic
>peace accord ? so popular among our politicians and bureaucrats.
>
>The chief minister of Assam, Tarun Gogoi, has held out the Bodo
>Liberation Tigers as an example. The BLT, he says, is similar to Ulfa,
>but ?we sat down with BLT and they surrendered.... Now we have BLT
>members as part of our government.?
>
>But historically, the ?Assamese? has not been purely an ethnic and
>exclusive category. If the category includes minorities of all stripes
>? as it does in Ulfa?s vision ? how can the aspirations of a
>territorially defined political community be accommodated within the
>model of an ethnic peace accord?
>
>The reason for Ulfa?s apparent intransigence on the sovereignty
>question may be because the concept provides a way of getting around
>this difficulty. It brings to the policy agenda the notion of
>renegotiating the social contract between India and Assam.
>
>Sovereignty talk does not have to take the form of the familiar talk
>about independence. However, compromises within this paradigm are
>possible only if constitutional reforms are part of the agenda. It
>might also require a willingness to relate foreign policy issues,
>vis-à-vis relations with Bangladesh, to domestic policy concerns, but
>in ways other than those that our security establishment has long
>preferred.
>
>A bold new political initiative to resolve Assam?s complex crisis must
>consider such options.
>
>The author is at the Centre for Policy Studies, New Delhi.
>
>
>
>
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