Forbes India Magazine, 06 May, 2011
 
http://business.in.com/article/special/assam-dont-hold-your-breath/24462/1
 
Assam, Don’t Hold Your Breath

In spite of successful elections, it’s too early to declare that the troubled 
state is on the road to recovery
 
by Sanjib Baruah | May 2, 2011
 
There are signs that the Assam elections mark the beginning of a new phase in 
the state’s politics. The voter turnout rate of 76.03 percent was impressive 
and the United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) did not call for a poll 
boycott. While the familiar controversy over the citizenship status featured in 
the campaign, especially in the BJP platform, it was not a defining element as 
it was in 2006, or arguably, in all state elections since the beginning of the 
Assam Movement of 1979-85.

Is this the end of Assam’s troubles and the inauguration of the politics of 
good governance and development?  Unfortunately, such a reading would be 
premature, and it would be a triumph of hope over reality.  

Politicians often respond to problems with words rather than deeds, or by 
symbolic rather than instrumental actions. That buys time, but ultimately, 
rhetoric cannot be a substitute to solutions. And the problems underlying 
Assam’s political troubles are neither minor, nor provincial. They raise 
fundamental questions about the Partition’s vision of two, and subsequently 
three, bounded nation-states, and whether it matches the subcontinent’s 
subsequent ground realities.
 
During the Assam Movement of 1979-85, the campaigners claimed that tens of 
thousands of “foreigners” were enfranchised in Assam. This is hardly an issue 
that can be settled in any obvious way. Thus, when the Supreme Court in 2005 — 
20 years after the end of the Assam Movement — found the Illegal Migrants 
(Determination by Tribunals) Act to be unconstitutional, its ruling read almost 
like an official text of the Assam Movement. There can be “no manner of doubt,” 
said the court that Assam is facing “external aggression and internal 
disturbance” because of large-scale illegal immigration from Bangladesh. 
 
To solve the problems animating Assam’s troubled politics would mean 
confronting a number of inconvenient facts. First, the insertion of an 
international border between India and East Pakistan in 1947 did not turn off 
the flow of people from one of the subcontinent’s most densely populated areas 
to a relatively sparsely populated one.  The pressure of migration actually 
increased since the Partition because it generated a big and continuous 
movement of Hindus, while the economically induced migration of poor Muslims 
also continued. 

Second, our citizenship laws take little cognizance of the post-Partition 
cross-border population flows, except those that occurred during the immediate 
years after the Partition. Indian citizenship laws embody the spirit of the 
Nehru-Liaquat pact of 1950 that sought to maintain a population status quo. 
Thus, there is no way in Indian law to make a distinction between Hindu and 
Muslim arrivals from Pakistan or Bangladesh except in the context of the 
immediate post-Partition years; and that too only by implication. But there is 
a tension between the legal definition of Indian citizenship laws, and the fact 
that many Indians believe that Hindus have an implicit right of return to 
post-Partition India.

Third, we have been able to live with these ambiguities because our citizenship 
practices enable a blurring of the line between citizens and non-citizens. In 
particular because the documentation that enables a person to be included in 
the electoral roll in India can be rather rudimentary including say, a ration 
card.  

In the words of the Japanese scholar Hiroshi Sato, there are fault lines 
between the normative definition of citizenship in Indian law, and the actual 
exercise of franchise by people “based on the legitimacy of rudimentary 
documents rather than on the registration of citizenship.” It is hardly 
surprising that by bringing the issue to the centre stage of Assam politics, 
the campaigners of the Assam Movement set in motion a virtual earthquake and 
multiple aftershocks in the state’s political landscape.  

ULFA was founded in 1979. Even though the citizenship issue has never been 
directly on ULFA’s agenda, it views the gradual political marginalisation of 
locals, because of immigration and the enfranchisement of non-citizens, as a 
symptom of Assam’s subordinate political status in the pan-Indian dispensation.

ULFA as an idea has always been more powerful than the reality of ULFA as a 
political organisation. Unlike our security experts, politicians like Tarun 
Gogoi intuitively understand it. This has led to attentiveness to questions 
such as the dignity of ULFA chairman Arabinda Rajkhowa since his arrest. That 
the election season included a meeting between the ULFA leaders and the Prime 
Minister is hardly accidental. However, it is difficult to imagine a solution 
of the “ULFA problem” within existing policy parameters.  

Words that appear in ULFA’s vocabulary, whether “sovereignty” or “full regional 
autonomy”, essentially invoke ideas of serious constitutional reforms including 
for instance, the radical expansion of the powers of the state legislature to 
include powers over questions of citizenship. It is not hard to see why ULFA 
would want to talk of such reforms. Nor are such arrangements unheard of in the 
world of federations. But it is hard to square them with the repertoire of 
political solutions to Northeast India’s “insurgencies” available among our 
officials that go little beyond the idea of an ethnic peace accord. 

(Sanjib Baruah teaches political science at Bard College in New York. His books 
include India against Itself: Assam and the Politics of Nationality)

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