Another, very well thought out and informative piece Baruah. It is also 
depressing at the same time.

m




On May 3, 2011, at 7:04 AM, Sanjib Baruah wrote:

> 
> Forbes India Magazine, 06 May, 2011
> 
> http://business.in.com/article/special/assam-dont-hold-your-breath/24462/1
> 
> Assam, Don’t Hold Your Breath
> 
> In spite of successful elections, it’s too early to declare that the troubled 
> state is on the road to recovery
> 
> by Sanjib Baruah | May 2, 2011
> 
> There are signs that the Assam elections mark the beginning of a new phase in 
> the state’s politics. The voter turnout rate of 76.03 percent was impressive 
> and the United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) did not call for a poll 
> boycott. While the familiar controversy over the citizenship status featured 
> in the campaign, especially in the BJP platform, it was not a defining 
> element as it was in 2006, or arguably, in all state elections since the 
> beginning of the Assam Movement of 1979-85.
> 
> Is this the end of Assam’s troubles and the inauguration of the politics of 
> good governance and development?  Unfortunately, such a reading would be 
> premature, and it would be a triumph of hope over reality.  
> 
> Politicians often respond to problems with words rather than deeds, or by 
> symbolic rather than instrumental actions. That buys time, but ultimately, 
> rhetoric cannot be a substitute to solutions. And the problems underlying 
> Assam’s political troubles are neither minor, nor provincial. They raise 
> fundamental questions about the Partition’s vision of two, and subsequently 
> three, bounded nation-states, and whether it matches the subcontinent’s 
> subsequent ground realities.
> 
> During the Assam Movement of 1979-85, the campaigners claimed that tens of 
> thousands of “foreigners” were enfranchised in Assam. This is hardly an issue 
> that can be settled in any obvious way. Thus, when the Supreme Court in 2005 
> — 20 years after the end of the Assam Movement — found the Illegal Migrants 
> (Determination by Tribunals) Act to be unconstitutional, its ruling read 
> almost like an official text of the Assam Movement. There can be “no manner 
> of doubt,” said the court that Assam is facing “external aggression and 
> internal disturbance” because of large-scale illegal immigration from 
> Bangladesh. 
> 
> To solve the problems animating Assam’s troubled politics would mean 
> confronting a number of inconvenient facts. First, the insertion of an 
> international border between India and East Pakistan in 1947 did not turn off 
> the flow of people from one of the subcontinent’s most densely populated 
> areas to a relatively sparsely populated one.  The pressure of migration 
> actually increased since the Partition because it generated a big and 
> continuous movement of Hindus, while the economically induced migration of 
> poor Muslims also continued. 
> 
> Second, our citizenship laws take little cognizance of the post-Partition 
> cross-border population flows, except those that occurred during the 
> immediate years after the Partition. Indian citizenship laws embody the 
> spirit of the Nehru-Liaquat pact of 1950 that sought to maintain a population 
> status quo. Thus, there is no way in Indian law to make a distinction between 
> Hindu and Muslim arrivals from Pakistan or Bangladesh except in the context 
> of the immediate post-Partition years; and that too only by implication. But 
> there is a tension between the legal definition of Indian citizenship laws, 
> and the fact that many Indians believe that Hindus have an implicit right of 
> return to post-Partition India.
> 
> Third, we have been able to live with these ambiguities because our 
> citizenship practices enable a blurring of the line between citizens and 
> non-citizens. In particular because the documentation that enables a person 
> to be included in the electoral roll in India can be rather rudimentary 
> including say, a ration card.  
> 
> In the words of the Japanese scholar Hiroshi Sato, there are fault lines 
> between the normative definition of citizenship in Indian law, and the actual 
> exercise of franchise by people “based on the legitimacy of rudimentary 
> documents rather than on the registration of citizenship.” It is hardly 
> surprising that by bringing the issue to the centre stage of Assam politics, 
> the campaigners of the Assam Movement set in motion a virtual earthquake and 
> multiple aftershocks in the state’s political landscape.  
> 
> ULFA was founded in 1979. Even though the citizenship issue has never been 
> directly on ULFA’s agenda, it views the gradual political marginalisation of 
> locals, because of immigration and the enfranchisement of non-citizens, as a 
> symptom of Assam’s subordinate political status in the pan-Indian 
> dispensation.
> 
> ULFA as an idea has always been more powerful than the reality of ULFA as a 
> political organisation. Unlike our security experts, politicians like Tarun 
> Gogoi intuitively understand it. This has led to attentiveness to questions 
> such as the dignity of ULFA chairman Arabinda Rajkhowa since his arrest. That 
> the election season included a meeting between the ULFA leaders and the Prime 
> Minister is hardly accidental. However, it is difficult to imagine a solution 
> of the “ULFA problem” within existing policy parameters.  
> 
> Words that appear in ULFA’s vocabulary, whether “sovereignty” or “full 
> regional autonomy”, essentially invoke ideas of serious constitutional 
> reforms including for instance, the radical expansion of the powers of the 
> state legislature to include powers over questions of citizenship. It is not 
> hard to see why ULFA would want to talk of such reforms. Nor are such 
> arrangements unheard of in the world of federations. But it is hard to square 
> them with the repertoire of political solutions to Northeast India’s 
> “insurgencies” available among our officials that go little beyond the idea 
> of an ethnic peace accord. 
> 
> (Sanjib Baruah teaches political science at Bard College in New York. His 
> books include India against Itself: Assam and the Politics of Nationality)
> 
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