Replying to myself:

IIUC, Powswap seems to only create contracts from current time to future time.

But, you can create synthetic hashrate binaries for time span in the
future time A to time B, using powswap, by subtracting

(current time to B) - (current time to A)

IE, buy first, sell second.

On Tue, Sep 1, 2020 at 4:07 PM Thomas Hartman <thomashartm...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> This is in reply to David harding’s message at
>
> https://lists.linuxfoundation.org/pipermail/bitcoin-dev/2020-August/018129.html
>
> (For some reason didn’t arrive in my inbox, so I was late noticing it, and I 
> am replying in this way. Sorry if it screws up threading.)
>
> Powswap sounds great! And it doesn’t require any protocol changes! Very cool.
>
> One potential problem I see with powswap is iiuc you need something like 
> watchtowers, or the loser of the bet can sweep the funds if the winner is 
> napping. Related, I’d also like to have trades happening in lightning 
> channels, and I’m not sure how this race affects the security assumptions 
> there.
>
> Further question about powswap.
>
> It’s currently block 64632 with retarget in 808 blocks. I’d like to bet that
>
> * the first 6 blocks after the retarget are found in under an hour
> * AND the new difficulty exceeds some threshold. Is such a bet currently 
> possible with powswap?
>
> I see how pow swap lets you bet on hashrate (ie block times) from current 
> time till some future time. But I would like to also bet on hashrate of 
> slices of time in the future. Possible?
>
>
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