[EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
Michael Harney wrote:
>
> In four years, the democrats will more than likely have
> the presidency again (no president who won the electoral
> college, but lost the popular vote has ever won in the
> reelection campaign),
>
A great generalization. You must have at least 20 cases
of a president that won in this case, to make a good
extrapolation based on statistics. You have, don't you?
Alberto Monteiro
Gees, I said more than likely... I didn't say "definately", I didn't say
"statistically likely", I didn't say "beyond a reasonable doubt". I just
said "more than likely". Meaning I think he has less than a 50% chance of
reelection. Considering the results of the last election, I would say that
is a reasonable conclusion considering 52 percent of the voters who voted
voted either green or democrat. After this election, it is unlikely that
Nader will have as many votes, with greens not wanting the republicans to
remain in control. If Nader voters vote democrat, that would give them the
majority and electoral college if voter oppinion doesn't change in favor of
Bush in the next four years.
Michael Harney
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
