At 21:48 13-8-01 -0500, Dan Minette wrote:
> >If the US Military Intelligence people have done their jobs right, the US
>will
> > know about those plans well before the invasion starts.
> >
>
>And, I'm sure they have some idea of the plans. And, I'm sure that they
>look for signs. For example, what would you think when a small country has
>the second largest special forces group in the world?
Maybe that country thought it was necessary to have a very large special
forces group. Who are we to dictate to a country the maximum size of such a
group? Would the US accept it if Russia would order the US to limit its
special forces to 100 people?
>When they remove all
>the land mines from their side of the border, and move their troops towards
>the border.
Well, it's their own country, they can remove landmines and move troops all
they want. You know, rights of sovereign nations and all that.
>When their troops go within the forbidden zone near the border?
Provocation, I'd guess. See how far they can go before the people on the
other side of the border start shooting. In the case of North Korea,
probably an attempt to get the US troops to open fire first, which would
give South Korea a wonderful opportunity to show the world just how
agressive the US really is.
>Out of curiosity, how is the US to know when the trigger will be pulled on
>their plans.
If South Korea actually wants to start an invasion, they'll have to
schedule a time and date for it (such as: 4 tank batallions will start
moving from location X towards the border on August 20 at 01:00 hours). If
the traitors within the South Korean military do their jobs, the US will
know about it in time (planning the actual invasion will still take a few
weeks, no matter how many plans you've already made).
>Do you assume that any competent military intelligence has a
>spy placed in the inner circle of every potentially hostile country?
I would be surprised if the US military intelligence community *didn't*
have informants in the inner circle of potentially hostile countries.
Actually, I wouldn't even be surprised if learned that the US has spies in
the inner circles of their *allies*.
Jeroen
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