Dan wrote:
Another example of this is when there are signs that a
youth is troubled before he shoots someone. The difficulty is that, once you know
something happened, you can point out the warning signs. Before it happens, how do you
seperate this youth from the ones who exhibit the same signs?
****
But how many instances are there wherein a someone _did_ pick up the warning signs and
did something about it? We can't know many calamities have prevented in this manner
because, in fact, they never occured. The same goes for all the examples of U.S.
failure to predict a crisis. How many times has a crisis been averted because the
proper preventative actions were taken? Can we ever know?
Doug
