Alberto said lots of things I agree with and then: [Argument 1]
> This argument is wrong, because there is a chance that you will > _not_ be chosen to enter the room any time, because the experiment > ends when the machine shoots If the argument is wrong, it's not wrong for that reason because the question I posed was: "If you're taken into the room, what is the probability that you get out alive?" [Argument 2] > This argument is wrong, too, because it does not consider the > chance that you will not be chosen to enter the room. Again, notice the "if" in the question I asked. Now, if we restrict attention to a particular run then (with probability 1) only a finite number of batches will be taken into the room. If we just look at such a run, then what is wrong with argument (2)? Rich GCU The Confuserator
