On Sun, Feb 24, 2002 at 12:27:14PM -0000, Alberto Monteiro wrote: > Err... No. This would be true if the experiment didn't end when the > machine fires. But when the machine fires, there's a bigger number of > dead bobies than survivors.
All in the room are killed when the die come up 6-6. They are all dead bodies! All survive when it does not come up 6-6. They are all survivors! > That's the problem with _conditional_ probability. There is no condition! I think you are not interpreting the English properly. The people stand in the room. The dice are cast. If it comes up 6-6, they are shot. Otherwise they survive. By definition, the probability of survival for the people who have entered the room is 35/36. > A simpler example: > both your grandmothers have dark eyes, > both your grandfathers have blue eyes. Both your parents > have dark eyes. You have dark eyes. Your wife has dark eyes. > Her mother has blue eyes. Your first kid has dark eyes. What > is the probability that your _second_ kid has blue eyes? > > If I had asked about your _first_ kid, the answer would be > a trivial 1/4. But it's not 1/4 for the second :-) This is irrelevant. > Parrdom mee, buth I am nought a naytive English speekar. > I kennt make it moor zplissit Okay, then. Your answer is wrong! :-) -- "Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> http://www.erikreuter.com/
