On Thu, Feb 06, 2003 at 11:01:08PM -0500, John D. Giorgis wrote:

> Anyhow, my argument is that Clinton managed surpluses in large part
> because of a stock market bubble.

Previously, JDG wrote:

> In 1999, 6% of federal receipts were from capitol gains. i.e. $110bil
> out of $1.828 tril.

Combining this figure with Dan's figure for Bush of $62.5B, it appears
that, at best, Clinton gets a "bonus" of $47.5B.

> As such, it is completely disingenuous to average Clinton's capital
> gains over all eight years of his term, especially during those years
> in which Clinton was predicting annual budget deficits of between
> $200bil - $280bil over the next ten years (the standard term of
> official budget forecasts.)

Why bring budget predictions into the discussion? The predictions have
proved quite unreliable in the past. Better to use past results and
ignore predictions of this sort.

> Yes, but GDP is hardly the only economic story.... as you remind
> me every time you bring up "inequality."  There are other factors
> involved in economic success besides producing GDP growth, and to
> introduce a quote of my own, "the economy got so bad under Carter,
> they had to invent a new number - the misery index - to describe just
> how bad it was."

Which of these "other factors" do you think is most representative? Does
that factor do better under Republicans than Democrats, thus supporting
your argument?


-- 
"Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>       http://www.erikreuter.net/
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