----- Original Message -----
From: "Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, March 13, 2003 9:17 PM
Subject: Re: Who is the sheriff?


>>It seems to
> > me that in order to be able to "use massive amounts of anthrax and
> > nerve agent" against the US, Hussein would have to be able to fly
> > planes over the US or else to target us with ICBMs or maybe warships
> > or something else comparable.  He can't do that right now.
>
> How about cargo containers?

I think I was the one who originally brought up cargo containers with
regard to attacks before 9-11.  They are a very significant risk for a
nuclear attack.  But, since a biological or chemical agent needs to be
properly dispersed to rack havoc, then a cargo container that contains
anthrax will not be an effective means of killing a lot of people.
Chemical agents would also suffer from the same dispersement problem.

>
> Hmmm, maybe I didn't express myself clearly before. I'm not against
> others trying, in general, to limit the power of America in the future
> to dictate world events, and I can certainly see how America dictating
> world events with no checks and balances would be a bad thing, not the
> least of which because Americans would have a vote and be protected
> by the Constitution, but foreigners would not. But I fail to see how
> opposing America on Iraq is likely to limit America's future world
> power, and it is probably more likely to increase American hegemony.
> As I said in my previous post, people who are concerned about American
> hegemony (and I am, although not to the extremes of the viewpoint
> you mention) should work to create balance in a positive manner, for
> example, by trying to establish a League of Democratic Nations to
> provide a vote and something similar to the protections and freedoms
> guaranteed in the US Constitution to all people in the world.
>

> Sorry, I didn't mean to shut you up! I like to hear what you have
> to say, although I would rather you were using your considerable
> persuasive writing powers to influence events positively, for example
> by discussing how to rebuild Iraq after a war or how to check future
> American excessive power expansion while simultaneously increasing
> freedom and democracy throughout the world.
>
> > I think the US has handled this issue about as badly as possible
> > on the diplomatic front - by our bluntness placing at needlessly
> > increased risk the very leaders, like Tony Blair, by whose support we
> > hope to gain international legitimacy.
>
> I completely agree. Why do you think Bush is so inept at this sort of
> thing? He certainly seems to have charmed millions of Americans, why
> can't he do the same with Europeans?



> > So at this point I'm thinking that if war comes to pass, as it almost
> > certainly will, I'm going to bite my tongue and hope and pray, in my
> > strange and godless way, that everything works out for the best.
>
> Any ideas on what we could do, personally, to increase the chances of
> success in nation building after the war? (I'm thinking along the lines
> of charities, lobbying groups, spending time on the weekends, writing
> letters, etc. -- I'm not sure I'm committed enough to quit my job and go
> to Iraq to help)

I appreciate your sincerity in this, but I'm curious as to why you think
that while an extremely modest effort (about $40 spent per person in
Afghanistan is as much as can be done)  a massive effort will work in Iraq.
It doesn't seem reasonable that a $200/per person (just under 6
billion/year) effort in Afghanistan will involve so much money the system
couldn't handle it.

My personal belief is that Afghanistan offers a much easier test case for a
lot of things we could try in Iraq.  I'll grant you that we will take more
control initially in Iraq, but having experience working in a Moslem
country should prove invaluable.  So, that's my suggestion.

Dan M.


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