OK list-members.
While I'm using this to evade finishing up work (it's
only 10:30 - why would I be in a hurry to go home?)
here's my current (among many) nightmare scenario.

What happens when Saddam launches missiles filled with
VX at Israel?  Israel is unlikely to fail to defend
itself this time, as it did in 1991, under any
circumstancse.  Israel is likely to have a
particularly strong reaction to poison gas.  I would
rate the chances that they would not retaliate against
such a launch in some way to approach zero.  When they
do so, the Arab world is likely to go nuts.  To put it
mildly.  So, what do people on the list think Israel
should do?  And what should the US do to try and
contain it?  

On a separate note, I'm actually curious, Jeroen - in
1991 Israel was attacked by ballistic missiles and did
not retaliate at all.  You have stated, for example,
your surprise that Israel has not used nuclear weapons
against Arafat.  How does this restraint on its part
square with your beliefs?  How do _you_ believe they
should act this time if (when?) they are attacked with
Weapons of Mass Destruction?  Also, I, at least, am
still waiting.  You have it on Damon's authority (as
well as mine, but he's an actual expert, while I'm an
amateur) that your proposed Special Ops solution to
the Saddam problem is not, in fact, possible.  So I'm
still waiting to hear your answer - what should be
done, since the three options you laid out have all
been exhausted?

Gautam

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