The problem is much more in poll spinning than in how the poll was done. The creator of one poll himself felt compelled to make the media rounds after Cheney and the American Enterprise Institute totally twisted the results.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/analysis/story/0,3604,1073022,00.html I found the polls in Iraq seem to be accurate and have predictive power: "As reported previously, anger at the United States peaks among Sunni Arabs in Iraq, not Shiites. According to the poll, Shiites are about 30 points less likely to say the invasion was wrong or to say it humiliated Iraq, and 12 percent of Shiites say attacks on coalition forces are acceptable, compared with 38 percent of Sunni Arabs. (That rises to 71 percent of Sunnis in Anbar province, which includes the city of Fallujah, a hotbed of the resistance.)" http://abcnews.go.com/sections/world/WorldNewsTonight/iraq_poll_040405.html The Iraq poll was conducted for ABCNEWS, ARD, the BBC and NHK by Oxford Research International of Oxford, England. Interviews were conducted in person, in Arabic and Kurdish, among a random national sample of 2,737 Iraqis age 15 and up from Feb. 9-28. The results have a two-point error margin. The CIA was using other polls and their sources in November warning that the situation was deteriotaing and that our forces would soon be facing major attacks. CIA report: More Iraqis shift support to resistance - 11/13/2003 The CIA report, disclosed Wednesday by The Philadelphia Inquirer, also finds that neither the appointed Iraqi Governing Council nor any other Iraqi institution has shown an ability to develop a constitution or govern. The report questions whether the council can return Iraq to sovereignty. In contrast with the optimistic views in recent public statements by Bush administration officials, the report warns that Shiite Muslims in southern Iraq could soon join hard-line Sunni Muslim opposition groups in guerrilla attacks on against the U.S.-led coalition. #1 on Google for liberal news
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