----- Original Message ----- From: "Gautam Mukunda" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 9:30 AM Subject: Re: It seems over...
> > Thank you, Erik. I was looking for this, but unable > to find it at 1:00am last night. I appreciate your > efforts. Scanning through the table I note that years > of economic hardship (e.g., The Great Depression) see > extraordinary turnout rates - 57-58% in some cases. > Years when we were at war (1944, 1968, 1972) also see > extremely high turnout. Years when things were going > great (1924, 1948, 1988, 1996, 2000) see low turnout. > I'm a little surprised by how low it was in 1932 - but > it wouldn't shock me if that was a combination of > measurement error and the fact that Hoover might as > well have conceded before the election. With that > exception (and it isn't much of an exception - turnout > was still almost 53%) it couldn't match up more > perfectly. I've got a question about your analysis. The years you didn't mention really didn't fit the pattern. Yes, '68 was quite high, but so was '60 and '64. In fact, every year in from '52-'68 saw higher turnout higher than any year from '32-'44 (max '32-'44= 58.8%; min '52-'68= 59.4%). While I won't argue that good times/bad times is not a factor, I think that the data suggests it is not the dominent factor. Dan M. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
