--- Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Why are the exit polls all off in the same direction > - in favor of Kerry? > > -- > Doug
We're looking at that issue right now, actually. Two complementary initial guesses, but they're both just that. Exit polls tend to be taken in higher-population districts. Bush's surge was enormous in low population districts. That's the key factor, if I had to guess. So the exit polls completely missed it. Second, the Democratic base was much more fired-up in this election than the Republican base, so Democrats voted early and the exit polls caught them, but not the later Republicans. Anecdotally, that's what happened in Cambridge, where I was working the polls on election day and turnout was extremely low because (according to my candidate, who had been there the whole day) there had been a huge rush of people in the morning. ===== Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] "Freedom is not free" http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Check out the new Yahoo! Front Page. www.yahoo.com _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
