> -----Original Message----- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On > Behalf Of Charlie Bell > Sent: Wednesday, March 22, 2006 9:43 PM > To: Killer Bs Discussion > Subject: Re: Is it just me.... > > > On Mar 23, 2006, at 2:25 PM, Dan Minette wrote: > > > >> > >> There'll be a lag on free movement/employment like there is with some > >> of the recent members. This is going to be a 20 year process at > >> least. > > > > Ah, I didn't know about the lag for recent members. Thanks for the > > correction. I looked at the EU website, and a couple more, and I > > never saw > > the maximum length of the restrictions given. Do you happen to > > know offhand > > where such a site is? If not, I'll keep looking. > > Not a clue. I'm fairly sure they were bilaterally negotiated between > each applicant and the EU, so there probably isn't a "maximum > length".
I wasn't thinking about an established upper limit, but the longest "cooling off period" that has applied to Eastern European countries that have joined. >I *think* it was something like 3 > year "cooling off period" for countries like Poland. So, within a couple more years (we're one year into this period from what I've read), there should be free movement? > As for Turkey, there'll be a period of maybe another 10 or 15 years > where they'll get closer and closer to free trade with the EU and > there will be less red tape for Turkish nationals who are offered > employment etc (much as it's easier for Brits to work in Oz than for > Americans...). Full membership won't take less than 15-20 years from > now, and even then they'll have the cooling off period. I agree with your last sentence. I think we may disagree over whether it is likely that this will happen. It's experimentally testable, I think. In 5 more years, if there isn't any real progress towards freer trade and free movement (I'll agree that less red tape counts as progress), then my guesses are supported. If real progress is made, then that is evidence against my prediction. Dan M. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
